Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 2 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)


	Ibiza		Barcelona B

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.25	3.5
	2	3.3	3.6
	1.99	3.33	3.82
	1.99	3.33	3.82
	1.98	3.48	3.85
	1.93	3.25	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.82)	3.32 ↓ (3.4)	3.71 ↓ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
47.2%

Draw
27.8%

Barcelona B
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

27.2%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

27.5%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Barcelona B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona B than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Ibiza - Barcelona B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reynet B. (G) 17. Medina U. 23. Escassi A. (C) 22. Pepe 5. Jimenez J. 7. Camara S. 21. Eugeni 10. Jamelli 16. Olabe R. 14. Gallar A. 18. Omoigui C.	13. Vidal Girona M. V. (G) 32. Fort H. 23. Fernandez P. 5. Dominguez S. 3. Martin G. 27. Bernal M. 6. Casado M. (C) 8. Moha Moukhliss 19. Delgado P. V. 29. Guiu M. 20. Hernandez U.
Substitutes
6. Alvarez J. 2. Arguelles D. 20. Arroyo R. 4. Bobadilla P. 8. Fausto A. 15. Joseda 11. Molina A. 12. Monjonell E. 9. Obolskiy N. 3. Olaortua I. 13. Rene (G) 19. Soko P.	7. Alarcon A. 1. Astralaga A. (G) 14. Cuellar J. 21. Darvich N. 40. Fernandez G. 10. Garrido A. 34. Olmedo A. 26. Prim P. 30. Rodriguez D. 18. Roman P. 16. Sanchez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Omoigui C. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Delgado P. V. ⚽,
20', Olabe R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 1 - 2, Guiu M. ⚽,
67', Jamelli ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
67', Camara S. ↓, Obolskiy N. ↑,
67', Olabe R. ↓, Soko P. ↑,
70', Guiu M. ↓, Olmedo A. ↑,
70', Dominguez S. ↓, Alarcon A. ↑,
72', Obolskiy N. 🟨,
75', Casado M. 🟨,
76', Eugeni ↓, Molina A. ↑,
83', Gallar A. ↓, Arroyo R. ↑,
88', Hernandez U. ↓, Garrido A. ↑,
90+1', Moha Moukhliss 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Ibiza is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ibiza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Ibiza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.05.24	Recreativo Huelva - Ibiza	1:0 ✺
18.05.24	Ibiza - Córdoba	1:1 ✺
12.05.24	Castellón - Ibiza	1:3 ✺
05.05.24	Ibiza - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0 ✺
28.04.24	Antequera - Ibiza	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTWTL
- FC Barcelona B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.05.24	Celta de Vigo B - Barcelona B	1:2 ✺
18.05.24	Barcelona B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:2 ✺
12.05.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Barcelona B	1:0 ✺
04.05.24	Barcelona B - Tarazona	2:1 ✺
27.04.24	Ponferradina - Barcelona B	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
02.05.21	Barcelona B - Ibiza	2:1
11.04.21	Ibiza - Barcelona B	2:1

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