The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ibiza 40.9%
Draw 28.3%
Real Madrid Castilla 30.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.2%
27.6%
30.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
26.7%
29.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Ibiza - Real Madrid Castilla Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8th and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ibiza won 1.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Ibiza holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Ibiza has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:4 (averaging 0.7:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ibiza against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:0 goals (averaging 0:0 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
UD Ibiza
6
3
0
3
8:8
0
9
12
Real Madrid B
6
2
2
2
7:6
1
8
Last Results with these Odds
Ibiza - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.2%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Real Madrid Castilla - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 30.24%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.