Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 9

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Toralín (Ponferrada)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Barca TV, FEF TV


	Ponferradina		Barcelona B

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.25	4
	1.82	3.1	4
	1.84	3.35	4.2
	1.86	3.31	4.24
	1.81	3.32	4.26
	1.85	3.25	4.28
	1.84	3.35	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.06)	3.28 ↑ (3.16)	4.17 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponferradina
50%

Draw
28%

Barcelona B
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

29.1%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

28.5%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ponferradina's performance.

Barcelona B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona B than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Ponferradina - Barcelona B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Prieto A. (G) 17. Carrique T. 4. Sibille K. 5. Lancho J. 18. Ramon A. 9. Cabanzon Y. 22. Esquerdo V. 24. Doue M. 11. Mula A. 10. Valle B. 21. Cortes J.	1. Astralaga A. (G) 2. Trilli 23. Olmedo A. 14. Cortes A. 27. Cuenca A. 17. Lopez R. 6. Prim P. 20. Fernandez G. 21. Darvich N. 24. Bikoue 10. Hernandez U.
Substitutes
8. Abelenda B. 2. Andujar D. 25. Barredo P. (G) 15. Bustos A. 20. Costa A. 6. Fernandez B. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 19. Lopez A. 3. Novoa G.	34. Espart X. 42. Gistau O. 30. Hernandez J. 4. Mbacke M. 38. Pradas A. 16. Sanchez E. 39. Soma P. 41. Yaakobishvili A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Cortes J. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Hernandez U. ⚽,
40', Esquerdo V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Fernandez G. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
87', Trilli ↓, Soma P. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 7 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Ponferradina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ponferradina is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:15 (average 1.5:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:9 (average 2.3:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Ponferradina - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.67%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.10.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Ponferradina - Celta de Vigo B	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Osasuna B - Ponferradina	0:3 ✺
22.09.24	Ponferradina - Arenteiro	1:2 ✺
15.09.24	FC Andorra - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWWLT
- FC Barcelona B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.10.24	Sestao - Barcelona B	2:2 ✺
27.09.24	Tarazona - Barcelona B	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Barcelona B - Zamora	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Barcelona B	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Barcelona B - Ourense CF	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.04.24	Ponferradina - Barcelona B	1:3
17.12.23	Barcelona B - Ponferradina	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
25.04.15	Barcelona B - Ponferradina	2:1
22.11.14	Ponferradina - Barcelona B	4:4
09.03.14	Barcelona B - Ponferradina	1:0
06.10.13	Ponferradina - Barcelona B	1:0
16.02.13	Ponferradina - Barcelona B	3:2

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