Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 36

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday


	Castellón		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	3.5
	1.83	3.3	3.7
	1.9	3.5	3.75
	1.92	3.36	4.1
	1.91	3.39	4.05
	1.9	3.44	3.81
	1.86	3.5	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.94)	3.43 ↑ (3.29)	3.79 ↑ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellón
48.9%

Draw
26.8%

Ibiza
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

27.7%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

25.8%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Castellón - Ibiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Crettaz G. (G) 12. Chirino D. 5. Jimenez A. 2. Granero B. 16. Sanchez M. 7. Moyita S. 14. Gil O. (C) 3. Lottin A. 11. Aurelio D. 4. Medunjanin H. 10. Sanchez R.	1. Reynet B. (G) 17. Medina U. 23. Escassi A. (C) 22. Pepe 5. Jimenez J. 7. Camara S. 21. Eugeni 16. Olabe R. 10. Jamelli 11. Molina A. 18. Omoigui C.
Substitutes
13. Carney J. (G) 8. Gracia J. 18. Indias I. 20. Iosifov N. 21. Kastaneer G. 24. Schwake B. (G) 15. Traore M. 6. Veldwijk L. 19. Villahermosa D.	20. Arroyo R. 4. Bobadilla P. 8. Fausto A. 15. Joseda 12. Monjonell E. 9. Obolskiy N. 13. Sequeira P. (G) 19. Soko P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, Sanchez R. ⚽,
36', Granero B. 🟥,
43', 1 - 1, Camara S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Chirino D. ↓, Indias I. ↑,
46', 🟨,
47', Olabe R. 🟨,
49', Sanchez R. 🟨,
53', 1 - 2, Omoigui C. ⚽,
60', Sanchez R. ↓, Villahermosa D. ↑,
60', Medunjanin H. ↓, Iosifov N. ↑,
64', Molina A. ↓, Soko P. ↑,
64', Olabe R. ↓, Fausto A. ↑,
68', Jimenez A. 🟨,
71', Eugeni ↓, Obolskiy N. ↑,
71', 1 - 3, Camara S. ⚽,
77', Lottin A. ↓, Kastaneer G. ↑,
77', Sanchez M. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
77', Escassi A. ↓, Joseda ↑,
77', Jimenez J. ↓, Monjonell E. ↑,
78', Obolskiy N. 🟨,
90+2', Traore M. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Castellón is Confirmed as championsnQualified for LaLiga2

Ibiza is Qualified for Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs

Castellón in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Ibiza is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ibiza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Castellón is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Castellón won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.05.24	Real Murcia - Castellón	2:3 ✺
28.04.24	Castellón - Melilla	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Linares Deportivo - Castellón	0:1 ✺
14.04.24	Castellón - Granada B	3:0 ✺
06.04.24	Intercity - Castellón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWW
- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.05.24	Ibiza - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0 ✺
28.04.24	Antequera - Ibiza	3:1 ✺
21.04.24	Ibiza - Atlético Madrid B	0:1 ✺
14.04.24	Atlético Baleares - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Ibiza - Melilla	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.11.23	Ibiza - Castellón	2:0
Club Friendly
11.08.19	Ibiza - Castellón	2:0

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