Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)


	Ibiza		Gimnástic de Tarragona

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.5
	1.7	3.3	4.33
	1.72	3.45	4.45
	1.69	3.66	5.26
	2.81	3.02	2.57	Watch
	1.78	3.34	4.56
	1.71	3.3	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.93)	3.38 ↓ (3.38)	4.28 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
50.3%

Draw
27.8%

Gimnástic de Tarragona
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

27%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

26.2%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Gimnástic de Tarragona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (+3%)

Ibiza - Gimnástic de Tarragona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Juan Ramirez R. (G) 17. Medina U. 18. Indias I. 16. Pedreno M. 3. Albert J. 23. Gomez E. 6. del Pozo D. 19. Sene J. 10. Gallar A. 20. El Ftouhi S. 7. Bebe	1. Rebollo D. (G) 4. Alba D. 22. Alvaro Garcia 5. Morgado C. 20. Santos S. 8. Montalvo M. 14. Sanz O. 12. Almpanis C. 10. Jardi J. 23. Baselga M. 9. Omoigui C.
Substitutes
9. Davo 8. del Olmo I. 2. Diez S. 21. Errahaly M. 14. Fede 12. Garcia D. 5. Gonzalez Nacho 22. Joao Fersura 4. Monjonell E. 24. Muller S. 27. Pugliese P. 25. Torrelavid C. (G)	2. Camus S. 19. Fuentes J. 13. Fuidias T. (G) 11. Jimenez A. 7. Junca D. 17. Martinez P. 6. Prendes M. 21. Pujol E. 15. Torres F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', Alvaro Garcia 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Jardi J. ⚽, Omoigui C. (A),
45+2', 0 - 2, Almpanis C. ⚽, Omoigui C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Alvaro Garcia ↓, Camus S. ↑,
47', Montalvo M. 🟨,
48', Almpanis C. ↓, Fuentes J. ↑,
60', Omoigui C. ↓, Prendes M. ↑,
60', Montalvo M. ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
64', Albert J. ↓, Monjonell E. ↑,
64', Indias I. ↓, del Olmo I. ↑,
65', Sene J. ↓, Davo ↑,
69', Gomez E. ↓, Fede ↑,
70', Baselga M. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
71', Torres F. 🟨,
85', Gallar A. ↓, Muller S. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 10).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Ibiza is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ibiza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Ibiza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.09.25	Atlético Madrid B - Ibiza	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Ibiza - Antequera	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Marbella - Ibiza	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Ibiza - Hércules	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Sevilla B - Ibiza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTTWW
- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.09.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Eldense	3:0 ✺
20.09.25	CE Europa - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:3 ✺
05.09.25	Betis B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:2 ✺
29.08.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Algeciras	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
09.05.21	Ibiza - Gimnástic de Tarragona	4:0
18.04.21	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Ibiza	0:1

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