Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 31

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Mirador (Algeciras)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Algeciras		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.9	2.8
	2.4	3	2.98
	2.55	3.04	2.87
	2.27	3.04	3.34	Watch
	2.4	2.8	2.8
	2.51	3.03	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.46)	2.97 ↑ (2.9)	2.95 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Algeciras
37.9%

Draw
31%

Ibiza
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

31.2%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

31.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Algeciras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Algeciras - Ibiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moreno I. (G) 22. Adot Barandiaran P. A. 8. Turrillo I. (C) 16. Gomez A. 11. Sanchez T. 17. Aviles J. 20. Alamo J. 24. Castro O. 7. Rastrojo J. 21. Garcia J. 9. Gonzaga M.	1. Juan Ramirez R. (G) 2. Diez S. 4. Monjonell E. 21. Kembo Y. 22. Sola A. 7. Bebe (C) 24. Valls T. 12. Garcia D. 14. Nsukula G. 10. Svensson M. 19. Eslava J.
Substitutes
2. Arauz C. 13. Casado S. (G) 10. Garrido D. 5. Mayorga A. 14. Nader A. 19. Obeng I. 30. Perez M. (G) 27. Recagno D. 23. Riley J. 32. Vilches Gonzalez R.	3. Albert J. 11. Castillo F. 9. Davo 8. del Olmo I. 6. del Pozo D. 5. Gonzalez Nacho 28. Incera I. 18. Indias I. 17. Medina U. 13. Paradowski T. (G) 16. Pedreno M. 25. Torrelavid C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Kembo Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Svensson M. 🟨,
62', Aviles J. ↓, Obeng I. ↑,
65', Turrillo I. 🟨,
72', Svensson M. ↓, Incera I. ↑,
73', Bebe ↓, Castillo F. ↑,
73', Garcia J. ↓, Riley J. ↑,
75', Riley J. 🟨,
80', Castro O. 🟨,
86', Valls T. ↓, del Pozo D. ↑,
86', Eslava J. ↓, Davo ↑,
86', Turrillo I. ↓, Garrido D. ↑,
88', Gomez A. 🟨,
90+1', Nsukula G. ↓, Albert J. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Algeciras won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Algeciras may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Algeciras has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Algeciras won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Algeciras won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	UD Ibiza	6	3	0	3	8:8	0	9
15	Algeciras	6	2	1	3	8:11	-3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.03.26	CE Europa - Algeciras	0:3 ✺
22.03.26	Algeciras - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Alcorcón - Algeciras	0:0 ✺
11.03.26	Antequera - Algeciras	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Sabadell - Algeciras	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWTLL
- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.03.26	Ibiza - Alcorcón	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Eldense - Ibiza	3:0 ✺
15.03.26	Ibiza - Marbella	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Antequera - Ibiza	0:3 ✺
01.03.26	Ibiza - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
30.11.25	Ibiza - Algeciras	3:0
16.03.25	Algeciras - Ibiza	0:0
15.12.24	Ibiza - Algeciras	0:1
10.03.24	Ibiza - Algeciras	2:2
10.12.23	Algeciras - Ibiza	0:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
27.05.18	Ibiza - Algeciras	2:1
20.05.18	Algeciras - Ibiza	0:1

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