Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 29

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat (Elda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, IB3, LaLiga+


	Eldense		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3
	2.1	3	3.1
	2.22	3.2	3
	2.4	3.2	3.2
	2.24	3.44	3.01	Watch
	2.3	2.9	2.9
	2.31	2.9	3.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.12)	3.11 ↑ (3.03)	3.05 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eldense
40.6%

Draw
29.4%

Ibiza
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

30%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

30.7%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Eldense - Ibiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vila R. (G) 17. Clemente J. 5. Gaixas A. 3. Smand F. 21. Ruiz D. 6. Calvo B. 12. Molina M. 7. Quintana Nacho 18. Macho G. 10. Fidel 20. Ibanez R.	1. Juan Ramirez R. (G) 16. Pedreno M. 18. Indias I. 17. Medina U. 5. Gonzalez Nacho 12. Garcia D. 24. Valls T. 22. Sola A. 11. Castillo F. 28. Incera I. 9. Davo
Substitutes
24. Alba H. 11. Bellari H. 36. Bernabeu D. (G) 15. Billups B. 8. Bustillo M. 9. Dioni 4. Dumic D. 19. Ibarrondo A. 22. Nunez R. 13. Valencia P. (G) 23. Vallejo J. 14. Vega O.	3. Albert J. 7. Bebe 8. del Olmo I. 6. del Pozo D. 2. Diez S. 19. Eslava J. 21. Kembo Y. 4. Monjonell E. 14. Nsukula G. 13. Paradowski T. (G) 10. Svensson M. 25. Torrelavid C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Molina M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Incera I. ↓, del Olmo I. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Ibanez R. ⚽,
54', 2 - 0, Clemente J. ⚽,
62', Calvo B. ↓, Dioni ↑,
64', Gonzalez Nacho 🟨,
66', Davo ↓, Eslava J. ↑,
66', Indias I. ↓, Nsukula G. ↑,
67', 3 - 0, Dioni (Penalty Awarded),
68', Ibanez R. ↓, Alba H. ↑,
77', Castillo F. ↓, del Pozo D. ↑,
77', Gaixas A. ↓, Dumic D. ↑,
77', Fidel ↓, Bellari H. ↑,
77', Molina M. ↓, Ibarrondo A. ↑,
79', Medina U. ↓, Diez S. ↑,
81', Clemente J. 🟨,
88', Dioni 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 10).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Ibiza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Eldense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Eldense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	UD Ibiza	6	3	0	3	8:8	0	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Eldense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.03.26	Atlético Sanluqueño - Eldense	1:4 ✺
07.03.26	Eldense - Gimnástic de Tarragona	4:1 ✺
04.03.26	Villarreal B - Eldense	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Hércules - Eldense	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Eldense - Alcorcón	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLLT
- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.03.26	Ibiza - Marbella	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Antequera - Ibiza	0:3 ✺
01.03.26	Ibiza - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Teruel - Ibiza	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Ibiza - Sabadell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.01.26	Ibiza - Eldense	0:1
Club Friendly
24.07.22	Ibiza - Eldense	2:2

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