Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 26

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Ibiza		Tarazona

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.2	5.75
	1.58	3.5	5.7
	1.62	3.6	6.14
	1.62	3.5	6.04	Watch
	1.57	3.25	5.5
	1.59	3.32	5.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.61)	3.4 ↓ (3.47)	5.84 ↓ (5.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
57.4%

Draw
26.9%

Tarazona
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

26.8%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

27.7%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Tarazona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Ibiza - Tarazona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Juan Ramirez R. (G) 17. Medina U. (C) 5. Gonzalez Nacho 16. Pedreno M. 22. Sola A. 7. Bebe 12. Garcia D. 24. Valls T. 28. Incera I. 11. Castillo F. 9. Davo	13. Amigo A. (G) 16. Delmas J. 14. Borge A. 4. Trilles M. (C) 3. Martinez Chechu 21. Nieto C. 22. Vaquero 6. Carrasco O. 23. Rodriguez D. 19. Armero S. 10. Aguero
Substitutes
3. Albert J. 6. del Pozo D. 2. Diez S. 19. Eslava J. 21. Kembo Y. 14. Nsukula G. 13. Paradowski T. (G) 10. Svensson M. 25. Torrelavid C. (G)	9. Cubillas D. 17. Jimenez A. 1. Josele (G) 20. Martinez J. 7. Soto D. 5. Traore B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Incera I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Vaquero 🟨,
61', Armero S. ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
62', Davo ↓, Nsukula G. ↑,
62', Bebe ↓, Svensson M. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Castillo F. ⚽,
74', Castillo F. 🟨,
77', Nieto C. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
82', Trilles M. 🟨,
87', Vaquero ↓, Soto D. ↑,
87', Borge A. ↓, Cubillas D. ↑,
90', Castillo F. ↓, Eslava J. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 12).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Ibiza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ibiza is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ibiza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	UD Ibiza	6	3	0	3	8:8	0	9

Last Results with these Odds

Ibiza - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.7%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.02.26	Teruel - Ibiza	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Ibiza - Sabadell	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Betis B - Ibiza	3:2 ✺
01.02.26	Ibiza - Atlético Madrid B	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Ibiza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLWL
- SD Tarazona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.02.26	Tarazona - Sevilla B	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	CE Europa - Tarazona	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Tarazona - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Villarreal B - Tarazona	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Tarazona - Hércules	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.11.25	Tarazona - Ibiza	0:0

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