Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 24

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+, RTVE Play, Teledeporte
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Ibiza		Sabadell

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.9	3.8
	2.02	3	3.8
	1.95	3.2	4.04
	2.28	2.96	3.4	Watch
	1.95	2.9	3.7
	2.05	3.04	3.98
	1.9	3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.28)	3 ↑ (2.93)	3.82 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
45.5%

Draw
30.5%

Sabadell
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

31.7%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

30.7%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Sabadell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Ibiza - Sabadell Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Juan Ramirez R. (G) 17. Medina U. (C) 4. Monjonell E. 16. Pedreno M. 3. Albert J. 28. Incera I. 24. Valls T. 18. Indias I. 22. Sola A. 9. Davo 11. Castillo F.	1. Fuoli D. (G) 4. Garcia C. 5. Bonaldo 15. Lazaro Cervera J. C. (C) 3. Fornes G. 7. Ripoll T. 18. Ortega J. 24. Aguilar Elizalde E. 23. Priego J. 9. Rodri 19. Lopez J.
Substitutes
7. Bebe 8. del Olmo I. 6. del Pozo D. 2. Diez S. 19. Eslava J. 12. Garcia D. 5. Gonzalez Nacho 21. Kembo Y. 14. Nsukula G. 13. Paradowski T. (G) 10. Svensson M. 25. Torrelavid C. (G)	2. Aleman C. 17. Coscia A. 16. Godoy A. 11. Martinez R. 8. Moreno X. 10. Ramirez Carrasco M. A. 25. Ruiz N. (G) 26. Tolosa A. 39. Torres M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Garcia C. 🟨,
37', Bonaldo 🟨,
43', Ortega J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ortega J. ↓, Moreno X. ↑,
46', Garcia C. ↓, Tolosa A. ↑,
49', Tolosa A. 🟨,
52', 1 - 0, Incera I. ⚽,
62', Lazaro Cervera J. C. 🟨,
62', Fornes G. 🟨,
65', Albert J. 🟨,
66', Rodri ↓, Coscia A. ↑,
66', Lazaro Cervera J. C. ↓, Godoy A. ↑,
76', Albert J. ↓, del Olmo I. ↑,
76', Davo ↓, Nsukula G. ↑,
76', Incera I. ↓, Svensson M. ↑,
79', Monjonell E. ↓, Kembo Y. ↑,
85', 2 - 0, Castillo F. ⚽,
87', Sola A. ↓, Gonzalez Nacho ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ibiza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ibiza will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ibiza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Ibiza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	UD Ibiza	6	3	0	3	8:8	0	9

Last Results with these Odds

Ibiza - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.74%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.02.26	Betis B - Ibiza	3:2 ✺
01.02.26	Ibiza - Atlético Madrid B	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Ibiza	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Ibiza - Real Murcia	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Cartagena - Ibiza	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWLWW
- Sabadell FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.02.26	Eldense - Sabadell	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Sabadell - Juventud de Torremolinos	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Sabadell - Alcorcón	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Teruel - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Sabadell - Marbella	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.12.25	Sabadell - Ibiza	2:0
Club Friendly
23.08.25	Sabadell - Ibiza	1:1
17.08.23	Ibiza - Sabadell	1:2

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