Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 21 December 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Fuentes Molina A. (Esp)


	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas		Eibar

	1	X	2
	7	4.2	1.5	Watch
	5.75	4	1.5
	7.25	3.9	1.45
	6	4	1.52
	6.93	3.92	1.49
	7	3.8	1.52	Watch
	7.3	3.64	1.52	Watch
	6	4	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.65 ↑ (4.51)	3.93 ↑ (3.47)	1.5 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
14%

Draw
23.8%

Eibar
62.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.5%

26.6%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

26.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ibiza Islas Pitiusas's form might have worsened.

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eibar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza Islas Pitiusas than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ibiza Islas Pitiusas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eibar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Eibar Predictions

Users Predictions: Eibar will win (24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.75% – 98.67%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Eibar is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Eibar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Eibar is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
18.12.22	Zaragoza B - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1:0 ✺
11.12.22	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Olot	1:1 ✺
04.12.22	Lleida - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	2:0 ✺
27.11.22	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Terrassa	1:1 ✺
20.11.22	Manresa - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLTL
- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
18.12.22	Levante - Eibar	0:0 ✺
11.12.22	Eibar - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
08.12.22	Burgos - Eibar	1:2 ✺
04.12.22	Eibar - Huesca	2:1 ✺
27.11.22	Cartagena - Eibar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
31.10.26	Eibar - Almería	✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.26	Pamplona - Eibar	✺

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Eibar