Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 29

Date: 28 February 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal Cartagonova (Cartagena)

Referee: De Aza M. H. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	Nova Sports Extra 1
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, #Vamos
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player


	Cartagena		Eibar

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.1	2.05	Watch
	3.9	2.85	2.01	Watch
	4.24	3.12	2.11
	4.15	3.07	2.07	Watch
	4.17	3.1	2.02	Watch
	3.9	2.85	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (3.8)	3.02 ↑ (2.95)	2.05 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena
23.2%

Draw
31.1%

Eibar
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

31.5%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

25.9%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cartagena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eibar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.6%	9.1%	77.3%

Cartagena - Eibar Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Cartagena will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). Eibar will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cunat P. (G) 19. Aguirregabiria M. 24. Sipcic N. 22. Olivas K. (C) 20. Nacho 16. Machin J. 10. Escriche D. 5. Ndiaye Dione A. 11. Clemente O. 38. Nunez R. 14. Millan A.	13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 2. Cubero S. 15. Comas A. 23. Arbilla A. (C) 3. Gutierrez C. 6. Alvarez S. 10. Pereira M. 17. Corpas J. 11. Pascual J. 7. Alkain X. 9. Bautista J.
Substitutes
26. Andugar A. 17. Andy 21. Delmas J. 33. El Jebari S. 40. Fuidias T. (G) 28. Hernandez J. 32. Luna D. 6. Mini 9. Ortuno A. 30. Reyes J. (G) 12. Vukcevic A.	22. Arambarri A. 14. Arrillaga H. 35. Carrasco O. 4. Carrillo A. 5. Chema 1. Dominguez A. (G) 32. Galarza A. 21. Guruzeta J. 29. Madariaga A. 18. Merquelanz M. 20. Puertas A. 19. Villa T.
Coaches
Fernandez G.	San Jose B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Pascual J. ⚽, Bautista J. (A),
27', 0 - 2, Cunat P. (Own goal),
31', Escriche D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Machin J. ↓, Andy ↑,
46', Aguirregabiria M. ↓, Delmas J. ↑,
46', Millan A. ↓, Luna D. ↑,
61', Sipcic N. ↓, El Jebari S. ↑,
61', Pascual J. ↓, Puertas A. ↑,
67', El Jebari S. 🟨,
75', Ndiaye Dione A. 🟨,
79', Pereira M. ↓, Madariaga A. ↑,
79', Gutierrez C. ↓, Arrillaga H. ↑,
81', Nunez R. ↓, Ortuno A. ↑,
89', Madariaga A. ↓, Carrasco O. ↑,
89', Alkain X. ↓, Guruzeta J. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 2.

Cartagena has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Eibar is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Eibar is a favorite.

There will not play in Cartagena: Alcala P. (Muscle Injury) Munoz L. (Thigh Injury) Musto D. (Red Card) Valles G. (Injury)

There will not play in Eibar: Nolaskoain P. (Yellow Cards) Troncho A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cartagena: Moreno J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Eibar: Gil I. (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.6:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Cartagena won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
23.02.25	Elche - Cartagena	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Cartagena - Málaga	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Cádiz - Cartagena	5:2 ✺
02.02.25	Cartagena - Córdoba	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Huesca - Cartagena	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
22.02.25	Eibar - Racing Santander	2:2 ✺
15.02.25	Castellón - Eibar	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Sporting de Gijón - Eibar	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Eibar - Deportivo A Coruña	0:1 ✺
24.01.25	Elche - Eibar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
02.12.24	Eibar - Cartagena	1:0
19.05.24	Eibar - Cartagena	1:0
22.09.23	Cartagena - Eibar	1:2
12.02.23	Eibar - Cartagena	0:3
27.11.22	Cartagena - Eibar	2:1
06.03.22	Cartagena - Eibar	4:1
22.10.21	Eibar - Cartagena	2:1

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