Match Info

1. Lig - Round 18

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Iğdır Şehir Stadyumu (Iğdır)

Referee: Taskinsoy A. B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii


	Igdirspor		Sivasspor

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.73	3.62	4.17
	1.79	3.74	4.38
	1.64	4.05	4.69	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.2
	1.78	3.61	4.33	Watch
	1.71	3.5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.87)	3.65 ↑ (3.61)	4.35 ↑ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Igdirspor
53.4%

Draw
25.4%

Sivasspor
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

25.7%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

24.6%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Igdirspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Igdirspor - Sivasspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Igdirspor will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Sivasspor will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Igdirspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
54. Tepe T. (G) 58. Kaya G. 86. Bekaroglu B. 5. Ozturk A. 77. Vural G. 6. Guctekin O. K. 20. Mendes R. 21. Erdogan D. 23. Guneren A. K. 7. Fofana M. 9. Bruno G.	1. Bakirbas G. (G) 7. Paluli M. 3. Erdogan O. 80. Celik C. 5. Basyigit E. 58. Ciftci U. 15. Fidan K. 6. Yigiter O. 8. Charisis C. 27. Ethemi V. 72. Avramovski D.
Substitutes
34. Akcan E. 61. Asan S. 26. Bolat S. (G) 22. Cavlan C. 19. Conte A. 17. Engin A. 55. Koita F. 36. Ozcan O. 11. Rotariu D. 27. Suarez A.	11. Badji A. 14. Boke T. 77. Kefkir Y. 23. Kimpioka B. 74. Koparan K. (G) 12. Malle A. 88. Seker T. 95. Selvili A. 59. Tanrikulu E. 26. Yildirim M.
Coaches
Uzulmez I.	Altiparmak M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Ethemi V. ⚽, Ciftci U. (A),
20', Guctekin O. K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Guneren A. K. ↓, Koita F. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Fofana M. ⚽,
61', Avramovski D. ↓, Badji A. ↑,
78', Fidan K. ↓, Yildirim M. ↑,
78', Ethemi V. ↓, Kimpioka B. ↑,
82', Guctekin O. K. ↓, Akcan E. ↑,
82', Mendes R. ↓, Rotariu D. ↑,
83', Charisis C. 🟨,
90+4', Erdogan D. 🟨,
90+7', Ozturk A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

Igdirspor is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sivasspor has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Igdirspor is the team to beat.

There will not play in Sivasspor: Abdullah Cakmak A. (Suspended) Albayrak M. (Suspended) Appindangoye A. (International duty) Celik M. (Suspended) Menderes C. (Suspended) Pritchard A. (Inactive) Vural A. (Suspended)

We predict that Igdirspor will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Igdirspor
Turkish First League
14.12.25	Pendikspor - Igdirspor	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Igdirspor - Adana Demirspor	4:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.12.25	Igdirspor - Orduspor 1967	3:2 ✺
Turkish First League
29.11.25	Keçiörengücü - Igdirspor	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Igdirspor - Erzurumspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWWWW
- Sivasspor
Turkish First League
13.12.25	Sivasspor - Çorum	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	İstanbulspor - Sivasspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.12.25	Sivasspor - Aliaga	1:3 ✺
Turkish First League
30.11.25	Sivasspor - Boluspor	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Erokspor - Sivasspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLLWL

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