Match Info

1. Lig - Round 7

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Iğdır Şehir Stadyumu (Iğdır)

Referee: Gultekin O. F. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tabii Spor 6


	Igdirspor		Hatayspor

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.33	4.75	Watch
	1.51	4.16	5.25
	1.54	4.45	5.43
	1.44	4.70	5.87	Watch
	1.51	4.15	5.59
	1.5	4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.49)	4.3 ↑ (4.1)	5.4 ↓ (5.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Igdirspor
61.4%

Draw
21.5%

Hatayspor
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

22.5%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

17.8%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Igdirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Hatayspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Igdirspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Igdirspor - Hatayspor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Igdirspor (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Hatayspor (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Igdirspor will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Bolat S. (G) 61. Asan S. 5. Ozturk A. (C) 19. Conte A. 58. Kaya G. 21. Erdogan D. 6. Guctekin O. K. 17. Engin A. 77. Vural G. 9. Bruno G. 7. Fofana M.	1. Bekaj V. (G) 15. Yilmaz B. 13. Aksoy E. 4. Demir C. 17. Alici K. 5. Saglam G. 6. Sarka B. 8. Massanga Matondo 7. Bamgboye F. 18. Durmushan U. 14. Rui Pedro
Substitutes
34. Akcan E. 86. Bekaroglu B. 22. Cavlan C. 10. Eysseric V. 23. Guneren A. K. 55. Koita F. 11. Rotariu D. 4. Selvi A. 27. Suarez A. 54. Tepe T. (G)	9. Aksoy D. 33. Aydemir E. 95. Buz Y. A. 2. Corekci K. 78. Daduk E. (G) 31. Matur O. 97. Sen M. 16. Temel S. 20. Yildiz A.
Coaches
Uzulmez I.	Almeida H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Kaya G. ⚽, Vural G. (A),
9', 1 - 1, Rui Pedro ⚽, Bamgboye F. (A),
16', Saglam G. 🟨,
24', 2 - 1, Kaya G. ⚽, Vural G. (A),
43', Massanga Matondo 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Durmushan U. ↓, Corekci K. ↑,
46', Sarka B. ↓, Temel S. ↑,
56', Bruno G. ↓, Koita F. ↑,
58', Massanga Matondo ↓, Aksoy D. ↑,
60', 3 - 1, Engin A. ⚽, Kaya G. (A),
68', Rui Pedro 🟨,
70', Conte A. 🟥,
72', Engin A. ↓, Bekaroglu B. ↑,
73', Ozturk A. 🟨,
77', Rui Pedro ↓, Matur O. ↑,
81', 3 - 2, Matur O. ⚽,
85', Asan S. ↓, Rotariu D. ↑,
85', Guctekin O. K. ↓, Guneren A. K. ↑,
86', Erdogan D. ↓, Akcan E. ↑,
87', Bolat S. 🟨,
90+4', Alici K. 🟨,
90+6', Aksoy E. 🟨,
90+8', 4 - 2, Koita F. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Igdirspor have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hatayspor is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Igdirspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Igdirspor is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Igdirspor: Kayatekin A. (Inactive) Ozturk Y. (Inactive)

There will not play in Hatayspor: Parmak A. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Hatayspor: Hodzic A. (Muscle Injury) Kilama G. (Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Igdirspor
Turkish First League
19.09.25	Umraniyespor - Igdirspor	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Igdirspor - Serik Belediyespor	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Manisa FK - Igdirspor	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Igdirspor - Vanspor	0:0 ✺
17.08.25	Sakaryaspor - Igdirspor	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLTTL
- Hatayspor
Turkish First League
19.09.25	Hatayspor - Boluspor	2:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
16.09.25	Hatayspor - Erciyes 38	2:3 ✺
Turkish First League
12.09.25	Erokspor - Hatayspor	4:1 ✺
30.08.25	Hatayspor - İstanbulspor	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Umraniyespor - Hatayspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLLTT

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