Match Info

NPFL - Round 15

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Mobolaji Johnson Arena (Lagos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Nigeria	NPFL Live


	Ikorodu City		Abia Warriors

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.4	6.7
	1.4	3.91	7.27
	1.49	3.54	7.45	Watch
	1.46	3.56	7.35
	1.38	3.8	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.51)	3.64 ↑ (3.5)	7.15 ↓ (7.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ikorodu City
62.6%

Draw
24.8%

Abia Warriors
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

26.3%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

25.7%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ikorodu City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Abia Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ikorodu City than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abia Warriors than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Ikorodu City - Abia Warriors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ocheme I. (G)
17. Alao T.
20. Arumala J.
7. Chidera Oparaocha C.
21. Christian J.
23. Odinaka A.
13. Ojetoye W.
16. Owolabi R.
10. Oyedokun T.
25. Temitope F.
37. Udoh G.
Substitutes
36. Anuba G.
29. Balogun A.
38. Ibifubara D.
6. Ikechukwu E.
1. Julu D. (G)
33. Ogbonnaya J.
18. Uche O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Alao T. ↓, Balogun A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 🟨,
62', 🟨,
66', 🟨,
69', 1 - 0, Chidera Oparaocha C. ⚽,
76', 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 5).

Ikorodu City is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Abia Warriors has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Ikorodu City is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ikorodu City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Ikorodu City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ikorodu City FC
Nigerian Premier League
24.11.25	Kano Pillars - Ikorodu City	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Ikorodu City - Plateau United	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Ikorodu City - Kun Khalifa	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Rivers United - Ikorodu City	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Ikorodu City - Nasarawa United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWTW
- Abia Warriors
Nigerian Premier League
23.11.25	Abia Warriors - Bendel Insurance	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Bayelsa United - Abia Warriors	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Abia Warriors - Enyimba	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Niger Tornadoes - Abia Warriors	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Abia Warriors - Barau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
25.05.25	Ikorodu City - Abia Warriors	3:2
22.12.24	Abia Warriors - Ikorodu City	2:0

Ikorodu City - Abia Warriors: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide