Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 4

Date: 9 September 2025, Tuesday


	Memmingen		Illertissen

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.55	2
	3.21	3.6	2.02
	3.28	3.44	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (3.26)	3.53 ↓ (3.54)	2 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Memmingen
28.4%

Draw
25.9%

Illertissen
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

25.9%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

25.1%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Memmingen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Illertissen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Memmingen than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illertissen than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Memmingen - Illertissen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Cocic M. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Embaye N. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', 2 - 1, Nollenberger N. ⚽,
87', 3 - 1, Vetter L. ⚽,
90', 3 - 2, Ruhle T. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Memmingen won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Memmingen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Illertissen will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Memmingen won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:33. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Memmingen won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.7:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Memmingen
German Regionalliga Bayern
05.09.25	Hankofen-Hailing - Memmingen	0:4 ✺
29.08.25	Memmingen - Bayern Munich II	1:4 ✺
23.08.25	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Memmingen	0:3 ✺
08.08.25	Aubstadt - Memmingen	0:0 ✺
01.08.25	Memmingen - Nürnberg II	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWTL
- FV Illertissen
German Regionalliga Bayern
29.08.25	Wacker Burghausen - Illertissen	4:1 ✺
22.08.25	Illertissen - Unterhaching	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
16.08.25	Illertissen - Nürnberg	4:3 penalties ✺
German Regionalliga Bayern
08.08.25	Illertissen - Greuther Fürth II	2:1 ✺
01.08.25	Bayreuth - Illertissen	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
23.03.24	Illertissen - Memmingen	3:1
08.09.23	Memmingen - Illertissen	1:4
Club Friendly
22.01.22	Illertissen - Memmingen	1:2
German Regionalliga Bayern
20.11.21	Illertissen - Memmingen	1:1
30.07.21	Memmingen - Illertissen	2:2
31.10.19	Memmingen - Illertissen	1:1
11.07.19	Illertissen - Memmingen	2:0

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