Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 19

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Illertissen		Bayreuth

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.25	5.15
	1.61	4.07	4.55	Watch
	1.48	4.1	5.5
	1.52	4.25	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.61)	4.17 ↑ (4.07)	5.13 ↑ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Illertissen
60.1%

Draw
22%

Bayreuth
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

22.6%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

21.9%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illertissen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Bayreuth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illertissen than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayreuth than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Illertissen - Bayreuth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Glessing Y. ⚽,
45+7', 2 - 0, Cocic M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 3 - 0, Cocic M. ⚽,
88', 4 - 0, Muth R. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illertissen won 3.

Illertissen has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bayreuth is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bayreuth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Illertissen is seen as the favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Illertissen won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:39. (average 1.6:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Illertissen won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FV Illertissen
German Regionalliga Bayern
15.11.25	Würzburger Kickers - Illertissen	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Schwaben Augsburg - Illertissen	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Illertissen - Hankofen-Hailing	2:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Illertissen - Magdeburg	0:3 ✺
German Regionalliga Bayern
25.10.25	Bayern Munich II - Illertissen	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTWLW
- SpVgg Bayreuth
German Regionalliga Bayern
15.11.25	Bayreuth - Ansbach	2:3 ✺
07.11.25	Bayreuth - Aubstadt	2:3 ✺
02.11.25	Nürnberg II - Bayreuth	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Bayreuth - Augsburg II	1:0 ✺
17.10.25	Unterhaching - Bayreuth	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
01.08.25	Bayreuth - Illertissen	1:5
14.09.24	Bayreuth - Illertissen	1:0
01.03.24	Bayreuth - Illertissen	0:1
25.08.23	Illertissen - Bayreuth	3:1
29.04.22	Illertissen - Bayreuth	0:1
02.10.21	Bayreuth - Illertissen	4:2
07.03.20	Illertissen - Bayreuth	1:4

Upcoming Matches