Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 34

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Illertissen		Schwaben Augsburg

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.05	4.55
	1.6	4.89	3.81
	1.56	4.05	4.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.58)	4.33 ↑ (4.05)	4.36 ↓ (4.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illertissen
57.8%

Draw
21.2%

Schwaben Augsburg
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

22.5%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

21.2%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Illertissen have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Schwaben Augsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illertissen than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schwaben Augsburg than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Illertissen - Schwaben Augsburg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Ruhle T. (Penalty Awarded),
28', 2 - 0, Ruhle T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
86', 2 - 1, Krug B. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 15 in the zone Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Illertissen is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Illertissen won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Illertissen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Illertissen	11	5	3	3	20:15	5	18
15	Schwaben Augsburg	12	3	3	6	14:23	-9	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FV Illertissen
German Regionalliga Bayern
09.05.26	Hankofen-Hailing - Illertissen	1:5 ✺
30.04.26	Illertissen - Bayern Munich II	4:0 ✺
25.04.26	Eichstätt - Illertissen	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	Illertissen - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	0:2 ✺
17.04.26	Buchbach - Illertissen	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLLW
- TSV Schwaben Augsburg
German Regionalliga Bayern
09.05.26	Schwaben Augsburg - Aubstadt	3:1 ✺
01.05.26	Vilzing - Schwaben Augsburg	1:0 ✺
28.04.26	Memmingen - Schwaben Augsburg	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Schwaben Augsburg - Ansbach	1:3 ✺
21.04.26	Augsburg II - Schwaben Augsburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
08.11.25	Schwaben Augsburg - Illertissen	2:2
04.04.25	Illertissen - Schwaben Augsburg	1:1
27.09.24	Schwaben Augsburg - Illertissen	0:1

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