Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 29

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday


	Illescas		CD Guadalajara

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.1	1.85
	4.2	3.1	1.77
	3.9	3.15	1.89
	3.93	3.27	1.89	Watch
	4.23	3.14	1.9
	3.9	3.15	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↓ (4.35)	3.15 ↓ (3.29)	1.87 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illescas
22.6%

Draw
28.8%

CD Guadalajara
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

27.7%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

27.1%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illescas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

CD Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+4%)

Illescas - CD Guadalajara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', 0 - 1, Canizo A. ⚽,
71', 1 - 1, Borona J. ⚽,
78', 1 - 2, Diaz C. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Illescas won 2.

Illescas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guadalajara is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Guadalajara is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Illescas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10:19 (average 1.3:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Illescas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Illescas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
23.03.25	Melilla - Illescas	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Illescas - Atlético Paso	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Colonia Moscardó - Illescas	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Illescas - Móstoles URJC	0:3 ✺
23.02.25	Getafe B - Illescas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.03.25	CD Guadalajara - Conquense	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Rayo Majadahonda - CD Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	CD Guadalajara - Unión Sur Yaiza	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Real Madrid C - CD Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	CD Guadalajara - Unión Adarve	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.11.24	CD Guadalajara - Illescas	1:0
31.03.24	Illescas - CD Guadalajara	1:2
19.11.23	CD Guadalajara - Illescas	1:2
Spanish Copa Federacion
04.10.23	CD Guadalajara - Illescas	4:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
27.02.22	Illescas - CD Guadalajara	2:1
30.10.21	CD Guadalajara - Illescas	5:3
20.01.21	Illescas - CD Guadalajara	1:2

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