Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 26

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	Colonia Moscardó		Illescas

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.88
	2.2	3	2.9
	2.23	3.1	3
	2.31	3.2	3.05
	2.29	3.15	3	Watch
	2.34	3.04	3.07
	2.23	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.12)	3.1 ↓ (3.33)	2.99 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colonia Moscardó
40.2%

Draw
29.4%

Illescas
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

27.3%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

22.2%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colonia Moscardó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Illescas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colonia Moscardó than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colonia Moscardó that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Illescas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Colonia Moscardó - Illescas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Ghabbour N. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 1 - 0, Guillen S. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Moscardó is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Illescas has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Moscardó could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Moscardó won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colonia Moscardó
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.03.25	Conquense - Colonia Moscardó	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Colonia Moscardó - Rayo Majadahonda	1:4 ✺
16.02.25	Unión Sur Yaiza - Colonia Moscardó	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Colonia Moscardó - Real Madrid C	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Unión Adarve - Colonia Moscardó	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLTWT
- CD Illescas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
02.03.25	Illescas - Móstoles URJC	0:3 ✺
23.02.25	Getafe B - Illescas	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Illescas - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Coria - Illescas	4:3 ✺
02.02.25	Tenerife B - Illescas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.10.24	Illescas - Colonia Moscardó	0:1

Colonia Moscardó - Illescas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide