Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 12

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Illescas		Cazalegas

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.95	6.5
	1.10	8.22	18.80	Watch
	1.42	3.78	7.5
	1.64	3.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.67)	4.86 ↑ (3.45)	9.45 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illescas
69.7%

Draw
20%

Cazalegas
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

26.4%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

25.3%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illescas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Illescas's performance.

Cazalegas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cazalegas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Illescas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cazalegas than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cazalegas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Illescas - Cazalegas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Luzzi Rangel F. R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+6', 1 - 1, Bueno I. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Illescas is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cazalegas has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Illescas is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Illescas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
16.11.25	Huracán Balazote - Illescas	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Illescas - Guadalajara B	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Marchamalo - Illescas	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Illescas - Azuqueca	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Villarrubia - Illescas	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 LWWTW
- CD Cazalegas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
16.11.25	Cazalegas - Manchego	0:2 ✺
08.11.25	Villarrobledo - Cazalegas	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Cazalegas - Albacete B	0:4 ✺
25.10.25	La Solana - Cazalegas	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Cazalegas - Deportivo Toledo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Illescas - Cazalegas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide