Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 9Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Marchamalo |
|
Illescas |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.48 |
2.88 |
2.78 |
|
 |
2.48 |
2.88 |
2.77 |
|
 |
2.34 |
2.9 |
2.96 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↑
(2.34) |
2.89 ↓
(2.9) |
2.84 ↓
(2.96) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 11%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Marchamalo
37% | Draw
31.2% | Illescas
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marchamalo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Illescas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (-1.6%)Marchamalo - Illescas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 66', 0 - 1, Moreno D. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 12).Marchamalo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).Illescas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).Illescas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marchamalo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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