Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 23

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	CMM TV, Footballclub


	Illescas		Navalcarnero

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.63	3.4
	2.3	2.8	3.25
	2.25	2.92	3.52
	2.26	2.86	3.39	Watch
	2.39	2.73	3.53
	2.3	2.8	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.33)	2.79 ↓ (2.89)	3.39 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illescas
40%

Draw
32.9%

Navalcarnero
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

31.6%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

32.2%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illescas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Illescas - Navalcarnero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+4', 0 - 1, Peque ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Illescas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Navalcarnero is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Illescas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Illescas won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Illescas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Illescas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.02.25	Coria - Illescas	4:3 ✺
02.02.25	Tenerife B - Illescas	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Illescas - Conquense	0:2 ✺
19.01.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Illescas	0:0 ✺
12.01.25	Illescas - Unión Sur Yaiza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLTW
- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.02.25	Navalcarnero - Conquense	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Navalcarnero	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Navalcarnero - Unión Sur Yaiza	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Real Madrid C - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
12.01.25	Navalcarnero - Unión Adarve	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
06.10.24	Navalcarnero - Illescas	1:1
18.02.24	Illescas - Navalcarnero	2:0
08.10.23	Navalcarnero - Illescas	2:2

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