Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 21

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday


	Real Madrid C		Móstoles URJC

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.25	3.9
	1.85	3.1	3.8
	1.91	3.2	3.8
	1.92	3.1	4.37
	1.87	3.18	4.17	Watch
	1.88	3.25	4.13
	1.91	3.2	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.68)	3.18 ↓ (3.43)	4 ↓ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid C
48.5%

Draw
28.7%

Móstoles URJC
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

26.4%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

23.2%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Madrid C's form might have worsened.

Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid C than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Real Madrid C - Móstoles URJC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Barroso Porteros J. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Garci ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 2 - 1, Ortega J. ⚽,
81', 3 - 1, Valdepenas V. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Móstoles could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Real Madrid C is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Real Madrid C won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Madrid C won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid C
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.01.25	Getafe B - Real Madrid C	3:0 ✺
19.01.25	Real Madrid C - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
11.01.25	Coria - Real Madrid C	1:0 ✺
22.12.24	Illescas - Real Madrid C	0:1 ✺
15.12.24	Real Madrid C - Conquense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTLWL
- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.01.25	Móstoles URJC - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Móstoles URJC	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Móstoles URJC - Cacereño	1:2 ✺
22.12.24	Móstoles URJC - Talavera de la Reina	2:3 ✺
14.12.24	CD Guadalajara - Móstoles URJC	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.09.24	Móstoles URJC - Real Madrid C	1:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
24.03.24	Real Madrid C - Móstoles URJC	2:0
05.11.23	Móstoles URJC - Real Madrid C	0:0

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