Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 15

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday


	Illescas		San Sebastian Reyes

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.9	2.5
	2.65	2.9	2.45
	2.75	2.95	2.5
	3.03	2.94	2.56
	2.88	2.88	2.54	Watch
	2.98	2.88	2.51
	2.75	2.95	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.75)	2.91 ↑ (2.88)	2.51 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illescas
32.3%

Draw
31.3%

San Sebastian Reyes
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

31.7%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

30.3%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illescas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

San Sebastian Reyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Illescas - San Sebastian Reyes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', 0 - 1, Bernardo A. ⚽,
66', 1 - 1, Gomez C. ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, Gomez C. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Illescas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
30.11.24	Cacereño - Illescas	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Illescas - Talavera de la Reina	0:1 ✺
17.11.24	CD Guadalajara - Illescas	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Illescas - Melilla	1:3 ✺
03.11.24	Atlético Paso - Illescas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.12.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Conquense	2:2 ✺
24.11.24	Rayo Majadahonda - San Sebastian Reyes	2:1 ✺
17.11.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Unión Sur Yaiza	5:2 ✺
10.11.24	Real Madrid C - San Sebastian Reyes	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Unión Adarve	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
22.08.24	Illescas - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.03.24	Illescas - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0
05.11.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Illescas	2:0

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