Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 33

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	CMM TV


	Illescas		Unión Adarve

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	1.85
	3.4	3.4	1.87
	3.5	3.35	1.93
	3.45	3.78	2
	3.46	3.55	1.93	Watch
	3.58	3.22	2.03
	3.5	3.35	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (2.81)	3.44 ↑ (3.04)	1.93 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illescas
26.2%

Draw
26.6%

Unión Adarve
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

29.9%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

30%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illescas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Illescas's form might have worsened.

Unión Adarve has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unión Adarve's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Illescas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión Adarve, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Illescas - Unión Adarve Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Jimenez A. (Pen),
11', 1 - 1, Sardinero A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 2 - 1, Lopez D. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Illescas is Relegated to

Illescas is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Unión Adarve is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Illescas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Unión Adarve will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Illescas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Illescas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Illescas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
20.04.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Illescas	2:2 ✺
12.04.25	Illescas - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Talavera de la Reina - Illescas	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Illescas - CD Guadalajara	1:2 ✺
23.03.25	Melilla - Illescas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TTTLL
- AD Unión Adarve
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
20.04.25	Unión Adarve - Conquense	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Unión Adarve	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	Unión Adarve - Unión Sur Yaiza	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Real Madrid C - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Unión Adarve - Tenerife B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
15.12.24	Unión Adarve - Illescas	0:0
24.03.24	Unión Adarve - Illescas	2:0
11.11.23	Illescas - Unión Adarve	2:1

Illescas - Unión Adarve: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide