The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Imolese 28.4%
Draw 28.9%
Cittadella Vis Modena 42.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.4%
28.2%
46.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.3%
27%
48.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Imolese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Cittadella Vis Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imolese than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella Vis Modena than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cittadella Vis Modena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Imolese - Cittadella Vis Modena Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Capozzi M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 2 - 0, Rizzi M. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 7).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Imolese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
Including home match between the teams, Imolese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.