Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 25

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Trevigliese		Cittadella Vis Modena

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.3	1.85
	3.81	3.46	1.85	Watch
	3.98	3.32	1.82
	3.85	3.45	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↓ (3.85)	3.38 ↓ (3.45)	1.84 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trevigliese
23.7%

Draw
26.9%

Cittadella Vis Modena
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

26.4%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

25.9%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Trevigliese have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Cittadella Vis Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trevigliese than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella Vis Modena than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Trevigliese - Cittadella Vis Modena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 0, ⚽,
87', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Trevigliese is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cittadella Vis M is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Cittadella Vis M is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Trevigliese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Cittadella Vis Modena	6	3	1	2	7:4	3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Trevigliese
Italian Serie D - Group D
15.02.26	Desenzano Calvina - Trevigliese	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Trevigliese - Crema	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Tropical Coriano - Trevigliese	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Trevigliese - Sasso Marconi	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Pro Sesto - Trevigliese	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- SS Cittadella Vis Modena
Italian Serie D - Group D
15.02.26	Cittadella Vis Modena - Pro Sesto	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Progresso - Cittadella Vis Modena	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Cittadella Vis Modena - SantAngelo	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Cittadella Vis Modena - Lentigione	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Piacenza - Cittadella Vis Modena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
19.10.25	Cittadella Vis Modena - Trevigliese	3:1

Trevigliese - Cittadella Vis Modena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide