Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 28

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Desenzano Calvina		Cittadella Vis Modena

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.45	4.65
	1.67	3.56	4.72	Watch
	1.65	3.46	4.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.7)	3.49 ↑ (3.43)	4.74 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desenzano Calvina
54.8%

Draw
26%

Cittadella Vis Modena
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

26.6%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

26.1%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Cittadella Vis Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Desenzano Calvina aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella Vis Modena than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Desenzano Calvina - Cittadella Vis Modena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Procaccio A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 6).

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, Desenzano is considered a favorite.

We predict that Desenzano will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Desenzano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Cittadella Vis Modena	6	3	1	2	7:4	3	10

Last Results with these Odds

Desenzano Calvina - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 53.65%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group D
15.03.26	Pro Sesto - Desenzano Calvina	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Desenzano Calvina - Crema	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	SantAngelo - Desenzano Calvina	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Desenzano Calvina - Trevigliese	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Lentigione - Desenzano Calvina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTWWT
- SS Cittadella Vis Modena
Italian Serie D - Group D
15.03.26	Crema - Cittadella Vis Modena	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Cittadella Vis Modena - Tropical Coriano	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Trevigliese - Cittadella Vis Modena	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Cittadella Vis Modena - Pro Sesto	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Progresso - Cittadella Vis Modena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
09.11.25	Cittadella Vis Modena - Desenzano Calvina	0:0

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