Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 28

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Imolese		Crema

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.3
	2.78	3.05	2.35
	2.73	3.37	2.2
	2.82	3.41	2.25	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.25
	2.84	3.3	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.68)	3.21 ↑ (3.05)	2.27 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imolese
32.3%

Draw
28%

Crema
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

29.3%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

29.1%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Crema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imolese than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crema than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Imolese - Crema Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Tandara M. ⚽,
45+3', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 10).

Imolese has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Crema's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Imolese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Crema	6	1	1	4	4:14	-10	4

Last Results with these Odds

Imolese - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 33.39%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Imolese Calcio 1919
Italian Serie D - Group D
15.03.26	SantAngelo - Imolese	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Imolese - Trevigliese	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Lentigione - Imolese	4:0 ✺
14.02.26	Imolese - Progresso	3:3 ✺
08.02.26	Correggese - Imolese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL
- AC Crema
Italian Serie D - Group D
15.03.26	Crema - Cittadella Vis Modena	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Desenzano Calvina - Crema	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Crema - Sasso Marconi	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Tropical Coriano - Crema	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Trevigliese - Crema	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
09.11.25	Crema - Imolese	2:2

Imolese - Crema: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide