Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group D - Round 22

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday


	Imolese		Fiorenzuola

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.9	5.5
	1.48	4	5.8
	1.53	3.84	5.17
	1.51	3.96	5.74	Watch
	1.44	4	6
	1.48	3.92	5.96
	1.48	4	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.42)	3.95 ↓ (4.18)	5.71 ↓ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imolese
61.1%

Draw
23%

Fiorenzuola
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

21.8%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

14%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Fiorenzuola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imolese than the current prediction. (-19.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Imolese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fiorenzuola could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Imolese - Fiorenzuola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Sementa M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Imolese is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fiorenzuola has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Imolese is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Imolese won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:8 (average 2:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Imolese won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 2.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Imolese Calcio 1919
Italian Serie D - Group D
26.01.25	Progresso - Imolese	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Imolese - Cittadella Vis Modena	2:2 ✺
12.01.25	Tau Altopascio - Imolese	4:1 ✺
05.01.25	Imolese - Corticella	2:2 ✺
22.12.24	Imolese - Forlì	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TTLTL
- US Fiorenzuola 1922
Italian Serie D - Group D
26.01.25	Fiorenzuola - San Marino Calcio	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Piacenza - Fiorenzuola	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Fiorenzuola - Sasso Marconi	1:2 ✺
05.01.25	Pistoiese - Fiorenzuola	2:0 ✺
22.12.24	Prato - Fiorenzuola	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
28.01.23	Fiorenzuola - Imolese	1:2
24.09.22	Imolese - Fiorenzuola	0:2
Italian Serie D - Group D
24.03.18	Imolese - Fiorenzuola	3:1
05.11.17	Fiorenzuola - Imolese	4:1
18.09.16	Imolese - Fiorenzuola	4:0

Imolese - Fiorenzuola: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide