Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group D - Round 17

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday


	Prato		Fiorenzuola

	1	X	2
	1.7	2.95	5.25
	1.72	2.95	5.4
	1.75	2.67	5.71
	1.72	2.98	5.84	Watch
	1.73	3	5
	1.73	2.9	5.67
	1.72	2.95	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.51)	2.91 ↓ (3.83)	5.47 ↓ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Prato
52.4%

Draw
31%

Fiorenzuola
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

23.7%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

23%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Prato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Prato's form might have worsened.

Fiorenzuola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Prato than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Prato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Prato - Fiorenzuola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Magazzu L. ⚽,
9', 2 - 0, Cozzari M. ⚽,
42', 3 - 0, Giusti E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
90+2', 4 - 0, Pereira L. ⚽,
90+3', 5 - 0, Rossi A. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Prato
Italian Serie D - Group D
15.12.24	Progresso - Prato	0:0 ✺
08.12.24	Prato - Corticella	3:0 ✺
01.12.24	Cittadella Vis Modena - Prato	0:0 ✺
17.11.24	Tau Altopascio - Prato	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Prato - United Riccione	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWTLT
- US Fiorenzuola 1922
Italian Serie D - Group D
15.12.24	Fiorenzuola - Tuttocuoio	1:2 ✺
08.12.24	Lentigione - Fiorenzuola	2:1 ✺
01.12.24	Fiorenzuola - Ravenna	1:2 ✺
24.11.24	Sammaurese - Fiorenzuola	1:0 ✺
17.11.24	Fiorenzuola - Progresso	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
20.02.21	Fiorenzuola - Prato	4:1
27.09.20	Prato - Fiorenzuola	1:0

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