Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP D - ROUND 11

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Imortal		Lusitano GC

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.1	1.75
	4.2	3.2	1.83
	4.38	3.2	1.88
	4.38	3.2	1.88
	4.25	3.18	1.81
	4.6	3.15	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.37 ↑ (3.59)	3.17 ↑ (3)	1.82 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imortal
20.9%

Draw
28.8%

Lusitano GC
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

30.6%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

29.4%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imortal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Lusitano GC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lusitano GC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imortal than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Imortal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lusitano GC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Imortal is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Lusitano GC is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lusitano GC could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lusitano GC will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Imortal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Imortal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Imortal DC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
19.11.23	Imortal - Moncarapachense	0:1 ✺
12.11.23	Imortal - Elvas	2:2 ✺
05.11.23	Serpa - Imortal	2:0 ✺
28.10.23	Real SC - Imortal	2:2 ✺
08.10.23	Imortal - Louletano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLTL
- Lusitano GC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
26.11.23	Lusitano GC - Real SC	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Lusitano GC - Serpa	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Moncarapachense - Lusitano GC	0:0 ✺
28.10.23	Louletano - Lusitano GC	0:1 ✺
08.10.23	Lusitano GC - Setúbal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.02.23	Lusitano GC - Imortal	2:0
06.11.22	Imortal - Lusitano GC	0:1

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