Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP D - ROUND 18

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday


	Imortal		Setúbal

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.1	1.36
	8.5	4.2	1.35
	7.8	4.13	1.33
	8.37	4.25	1.38
	8.3	4.25	1.35
	7.8	4.2	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.05 ↓ (9.4)	4.19 ↓ (4.5)	1.36 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imortal
11.3%

Draw
21.7%

Setúbal
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.7%

20.2%

70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.3%

19.5%

72.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imortal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Setúbal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imortal than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Setúbal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Setúbal is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Imortal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Imortal DC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
28.01.24	Fabril do Barreiro - Imortal	0:1 ✺
21.01.24	Imortal - Oriental	0:2 ✺
14.01.24	Juventude de Évora - Imortal	1:2 ✺
07.01.24	Imortal - Barreirense	1:3 ✺
17.12.23	Imortal - Sintrense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.4 WLWLL
- Vitoria Setúbal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
28.01.24	Setúbal - Serpa	3:2 ✺
21.01.24	Moncarapachense - Setúbal	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	Setúbal - Real SC	2:0 ✺
07.01.24	Louletano - Setúbal	2:1 ✺
16.12.23	Setúbal - Elvas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
01.10.23	Setúbal - Imortal	2:1

Imortal - Setúbal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide