Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP D - ROUND 17

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Bonfim (Setúbal)


	Setúbal		Serpa

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.6	8.5
	1.28	4.5	10
	1.3	4.51	7.6
	1.29	5.1	10.57
	1.25	5.05	10.1
	1.28	4.7	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.45)	4.74 ↑ (4)	9.33 ↑ (6.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Setúbal
71%

Draw
19.2%

Serpa
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

22.7%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

22.1%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Setúbal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Setúbal's performance.

Serpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Setúbal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: ) and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Setúbal is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Setúbal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Setúbal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
21.01.24	Moncarapachense - Setúbal	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	Setúbal - Real SC	2:0 ✺
07.01.24	Louletano - Setúbal	2:1 ✺
16.12.23	Setúbal - Elvas	1:2 ✺
09.12.23	Fabril do Barreiro - Setúbal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLLW
- FC Serpa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
21.01.24	Serpa - Fabril do Barreiro	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Oriental - Serpa	0:3 ✺
07.01.24	Serpa - Juventude de Évora	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	Serpa - Barreirense	0:1 ✺
10.12.23	Sintrense - Serpa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
17.09.23	Serpa - Setúbal	0:1

Setúbal - Serpa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide