Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 8

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Imperia		Gozzano

	1	X	2
	2.99	3.41	2.15	Watch
	3.03	3.28	2.16
	2.89	3.18	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.04)	3.29 ↓ (3.4)	2.2 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imperia
30.7%

Draw
27.8%

Gozzano
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

27%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

26.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imperia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Gozzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imperia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gozzano than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Imperia - Gozzano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Guida S. ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, Busato G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 3 - 0, ⚽,
62', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )).

Imperia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Gozzano has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gozzano could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Imperia won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Imperia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Imperia
Italian Serie D - Group A
12.10.25	Valenzana Mado - Imperia	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Imperia - Ligorna	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Vado - Imperia	3:1 ✺
24.09.25	Imperia - Sestri Levante	0:5 ✺
20.09.25	Club Milano - Imperia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTLLT
- AC Gozzano
Italian Serie D - Group A
12.10.25	Gozzano - Sestri Levante	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Derthona - Gozzano	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Gozzano - Saluzzo	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Unione Sanremo - Gozzano	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Gozzano - Celle Varazze	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
06.04.25	Gozzano - Imperia	2:2
24.11.24	Imperia - Gozzano	1:1
30.01.22	Imperia - Gozzano	0:3
19.09.21	Gozzano - Imperia	1:1
30.01.21	Gozzano - Imperia	1:0

Imperia - Gozzano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide