Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 18

Date: 18 June 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Independiente 2		Belgrano 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.90	3.40	3.40
	1.9	3.4	3.4	Watch
	1.95	3.76	3.37
	1.91	3.8	3.35	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.3
	1.92	3.5	3.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.6)	3.54 ↑ (3.05)	3.37 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente 2
47.4%

Draw
25.6%

Belgrano 2
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

29.2%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

29.2%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente 2's performance.

Belgrano 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Belgrano 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente 2 than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano 2 than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belgrano 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Independiente 2 - Belgrano 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Gaona T. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
47', 0 - 2, Fleurilus A. ⚽,
68', 1 - 2, Barros L. ⚽,
72', 2 - 2, Barros L. ⚽,
79', Gaona T. 🟥,
89', 3 - 2, Junco N. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Belgrano 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Independiente 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente 2 - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.22%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente 2
Argentinian Reserve League
09.06.26	Lanús 2 - Independiente 2	0:4 ✺
02.06.26	Independiente 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	1:0 ✺
26.05.26	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Independiente 2	1:1 ✺
19.05.26	Independiente 2 - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2	5:0 ✺
14.05.26	Huracán Buenos Aires 2 - Independiente 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWTWL
- Belgrano 2
Argentinian Reserve League
09.06.26	Belgrano 2 - Atlético de Rafaela 2	1:1 ✺
05.06.26	Platense 2 - Belgrano 2	0:2 ✺
27.05.26	Belgrano 2 - Quilmes 2	1:0 ✺
21.05.26	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Belgrano 2	3:1 ✺
13.05.26	Belgrano 2 - Central Córdoba 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
30.04.23	Belgrano 2 - Independiente 2	0:1

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