Match Info

Date: 25 September 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Independiente Chivilcoy		Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.4	6.25
	1.4	3.85	7
	1.64	3.15	5.2
	1.5	3.83	4.33
	1.46	3.74	6.8
	1.5	3.55	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.69)	3.59 ↑ (3.3)	5.96 ↑ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Chivilcoy
59.8%

Draw
25.1%

Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis
15.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.7%

27.5%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

26.4%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Chivilcoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Chivilcoy's performance.

Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.2%	5.3%	31.6%

Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Ind Chivilcoy will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Sportivo Estudiantes will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind Chivilcoy: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Independiente Chivilcoy is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sportivo Estudiantes is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sportivo Estudiantes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Independiente Chivilcoy is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Independiente Chivilcoy won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente Chivilcoy won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
18.09.22	Deportivo Camioneros - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:4 ✺
11.09.22	Independiente Chivilcoy - Desamparados	2:0 ✺
03.09.22	Cipolletti - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
28.08.22	Independiente Chivilcoy - Villa Mitre	1:1 ✺
24.08.22	Ciudad de Bolívar - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWTTL
- Club Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis
Argentinian Torneo Federal
18.09.22	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:1 ✺
04.09.22	Deportivo Camioneros - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	2:1 ✺
28.08.22	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Desamparados	2:1 ✺
24.08.22	Cipolletti - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	0:0 ✺
19.08.22	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Villa Mitre	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
18.06.22	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:0
15.08.21	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:0
18.04.21	Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	2:1

Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis