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Current Win Probability
Independiente Medellín 78.7%
Draw 15%
Atlético Bucaramanga 6.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.5%
23.2%
12.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.4%
21.6%
11.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Medellín's performance.
Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Bucaramanga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Medellín that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Bucaramanga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Independiente Medellín - Atlético Bucaramanga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Tejada M. (G) 25. Cardona M. 5. Torres M. 13. Doria Y. 18. Munera M. 10. Gonzalez A. 6. Alvarez S. (C) 9. Rojas V. 4. Correa M. 11. Castillo V. 7. Hurtado M.
12. Quiroga S. (G) 22. Ibarguen L. 4. Alcendra D. 16. Henao A. 14. Gomez V. 8. Rodriguez S. (C) 11. Tobo N. 9. Padilla Y. 24. Mantilla T. 10. Rojas M. 7. Nino B.
Substitutes
19. Agudelo E. 21. Arias K. 1. Garcia L. (G) 16. Hernandez E. 17. Patino S. 3. Ramirez V. 2. Sastoque M. 15. Tangarife V. 8. Toledo M.
21. Gomez M. 1. Montanez A. (G) 23. Ojeda M. 19. Palomeque M. 20. Rojas S. 5. Siso K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Castillo V. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Rojas V. ⚽, Castillo V. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nino B. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
46', Tobo N. ↓, Siso K. ↑,
48', 3 - 0, Henao A. (Own goal),
56', Hurtado M. ↓, Toledo M. ↑,
64', Doria Y. ↓, Ramirez V. ↑,
64', Munera M. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
67', Padilla Y. ↓, Palomeque M. ↑,
73', Castillo V. ↓, Patino S. ↑,
73', Gonzalez A. ↓, Arias K. ↑,
78', Rodriguez S. ↓, Ojeda M. ↑,
84', Alcendra D. 🟨,
90', Cardona M. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: ) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 4.
In recent matches, Ind Medellín has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Bucaramanga's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Ind Medellín is the clear favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:6. (average 2.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 2.6:1.2).
Watch
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Tejada M. (G) 
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