Match Info

Liga Women - Round 8

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Polideportivo Sur (Envigado)


	Independiente Medellín		Once Caldas

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.25	6.3
	1.43	4.2	6
	1.45	4.21	6.01	Watch
	1.4	4	6.5
	1.4	4.25	6.56	Watch
	1.49	3.6	6.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.49)	4.09 ↑ (3.6)	6.27 ↑ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Medellín
63.4%

Draw
22.2%

Once Caldas
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

25%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

23.5%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

The chances for Once Caldas have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Independiente Medellín - Once Caldas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Garcia L. (G) 5. Torres M. 13. Doria Y. 15. Tangarife V. 25. Cardona M. 6. Alvarez S. 8. Toledo M. 10. Gonzalez A. 9. Rojas V. 11. Castillo V. 18. Munera M.	1. Castro A. (G) 15. Ramirez M. 23. Angulo E. 5. Ruiz N. 4. Giraldo C. 7. Contreras K. 8. Valencia D. 20. Guzman M. 10. Franco V. 16. Trejos V. 14. Pastrana N.
Substitutes
19. Agudelo E. 21. Arias K. 12. Candanoza V. (G) 4. Correa M. 16. Hernandez E. 7. Hurtado M. 23. Largo E. 17. Patino S. 3. Ramirez V.	9. Amaya A. 12. Mateus S. (G) 6. Orozco D. 21. Ramirez A. 24. Valencia A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Cardona M. ⚽, Gonzalez A. (A),
27', 2 - 0, Castillo V. ⚽, Munera M. (A),
31', 3 - 0, Munera M. ⚽, Gonzalez A. (A),
39', Trejos V. ↓, Ramirez A. ↑,
42', Contreras K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Giraldo C. ↓, Valencia A. ↑,
55', Contreras K. ↓, Orozco D. ↑,
58', Castillo V. ↓, Hurtado M. ↑,
58', Alvarez S. ↓, Patino S. ↑,
58', Doria Y. ↓, Ramirez V. ↑,
66', Valencia D. 🟨,
72', Torres M. ↓, Largo E. ↑,
77', Gonzalez A. ↓, Agudelo E. ↑,
81', Largo E. 🟥,
87', Guzman M. ↓, Amaya A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: ) and 16).

Ind Medellín is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Once Caldas is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Ind Medellín is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Ind Medellín won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Medellín Women
Colombian Liga Women
15.04.26	Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Medellín	3:2 ✺
31.03.26	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pasto	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Independiente Medellín - Llaneros	2:1 ✺
10.03.26	Inter Palmira - Independiente Medellín	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Independiente Medellín - Real Santander	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWTW
- Once Caldas Women
Colombian Liga Women
15.04.26	Once Caldas - Deportivo Cali	0:2 ✺
30.03.26	Inter Bogotá - Once Caldas	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Once Caldas - América de Cali	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Millonarios - Once Caldas	3:0 ✺
10.03.26	Once Caldas - Junior Barranquilla	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Liga Women
26.05.25	Once Caldas - Independiente Medellín	0:2
18.08.19	Independiente Medellín - Once Caldas	1:0

Independiente Medellín - Once Caldas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide