Match Info

BOLIVIA: Division Profesional - Clausura - Round 19

Date: 23 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Patria (Sucre)

Referee: Lopez M. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1


	Independiente Petroleros		Royal Pari

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.1	4.75	Watch
	1.58	3.6	4.75
				Watch
	1.64	3.98	4.84
	1.62	3.93	5.19	Watch
	1.62	3.72	5.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.7)	3.87 ↑ (3.75)	4.92 ↑ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Petroleros
57.3%

Draw
23.9%

Royal Pari
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

24.4%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

24.7%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Petroleros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Royal Pari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Royal Pari than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Independiente Petroleros - Royal Pari Predictions

Users Predictions: Independiente Petroleros will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Salvatierra G. (G) 94. Aguilera D. 10. Thomaz 3. Soleto W. 5. Diaz E. 21. Arteaga N. 50. Vargas D. 27. Navarro D. 30. Bejarano A. 11. Godoy J. 9. Cristaldo G.	13. Mendez D. (G) 72. Gil S. 23. Quinones Y. 3. Moriceau T. 5. Crescencio L. 24. Padilla C. 7. Thiago 12. Ribera J. 91. Ubah B. 77. Adolfo E. 9. Matheus Alves
Substitutes
23. Arauz E. (G) 4. Avila R. 25. Castellon D. 19. Medina A. 97. Porozo D. 8. Quiroga M. 65. Romero M. 14. Urdininea C. 22. Valda D. 24. Vedia C.	17. Bonilla M. 14. Cadima R. 6. Flores D. 55. Hurtado I. (G) 11. Jaquez J. M. 18. Justiniano S. 87. Pena S. 28. Velasco L. 32. Zurita A.
Coaches
Poquechoque R.	Leitao T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Ubah B. ⚽, Moriceau T. (A),
24', Soleto W. 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Thomaz ⚽, Aguilera D. (A),
33', 1 - 2, Adolfo E. ⚽, Gil S. (A),
44', Adolfo E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Diaz E. ↓, Avila R. ↑,
46', Arteaga N. ↓, Castellon D. ↑,
46', Vargas D. ↓, Romero M. ↑,
67', Navarro D. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
68', Thomaz 🟨,
68', Padilla C. 🟨,
68', Godoy J. 🟨,
71', Matheus Alves ↓, Jaquez J. M. ↑,
80', Avila R. 🟨,
86', Crescencio L. 🟨,
87', 2 - 2, Thomaz (Pen),
89', Cristaldo G. ↓, Porozo D. ↑,
90', Jaquez J. M. ↓, Zurita A. ↑,
90', Ribera J. ↓, Justiniano S. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Independiente Petroleros won 2.

Independiente Petroleros is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Royal Pari is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Independiente Petroleros could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Independiente Petroleros is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Independiente Petroleros won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:17 (average 1.7:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente Petroleros won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Petroleros
Bolivian Division Profesional
28.09.24	Independiente Petroleros - GVCD San José	0:1 ✺
25.09.24	Bolívar - Independiente Petroleros	3:0 ✺
22.09.24	Independiente Petroleros - Jorge Wilstermann	2:2 ✺
15.09.24	Always Ready - Independiente Petroleros	0:0 ✺
24.08.24	Independiente Petroleros - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLTTT
- Royal Pari FC
Bolivian Division Profesional
18.10.24	Royal Pari - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	1:0 ✺
24.09.24	Royal Pari - Universitario de Vinto	0:0 ✺
20.09.24	GVCD San José - Royal Pari	3:0 ✺
12.09.24	Royal Pari - Guabirá	3:3 ✺
01.09.24	Real Santa Cruz - Royal Pari	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
27.05.24	Royal Pari - Independiente Petroleros	2:2
09.07.23	Independiente Petroleros - Royal Pari	4:2
06.02.23	Royal Pari - Independiente Petroleros	2:1
11.09.22	Independiente Petroleros - Royal Pari	3:0
05.07.22	Royal Pari - Independiente Petroleros	3:2
21.05.22	Independiente Petroleros - Royal Pari	0:0
09.04.22	Royal Pari - Independiente Petroleros	5:1

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