Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 20

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Patria (Sucre)

Referee: Salazar E. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Entel Gol 56


	Independiente Petroleros		San Antonio Bulo Bulo

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.90	4.20	Watch
	1.65	3.90	3.90
	1.7	3.85	3.95	Watch
	1.7	3.98	3.97
	1.7	4.23	4.16	Watch
	1.63	3.85	3.85
	1.64	3.88	4.24	Watch
	1.68	3.85	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.5)	3.93 ↓ (4)	4.01 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Petroleros
54.3%

Draw
23.1%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

22%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

20.7%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Petroleros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

San Antonio Bulo Bulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Petroleros, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Antonio Bulo Bulo than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Independiente Petroleros - San Antonio Bulo Bulo Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ind Petroleros will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gutierrez J. (G) 77. Zamora R. 5. Palma L. 3. Crescencio L. 34. Mendoza G. 7. Cardozo R. (C) 14. Urdininea C. 6. Rojas D. 99. Jeferson Carioca 9. Gean 91. Alvarez G.	1. Giossa L. (G) 21. Ballivian R. 29. Padilha Hallysson 15. Machado C. 14. Yanarico L. 44. Ricaldez C. 31. Bustos R. 17. Guerra S. 45. Villamil S. 10. Terrazas A. (C) 18. Menacho R.
Substitutes
15. Bejarano J. 19. Cristaldo G. 39. Grass P. 8. Guttierrez J. 20. Mercado A. 68. Morales D. 4. Rodriguez L. 50. Roni Santos 26. Sanchez K. 38. Taborga Paz K. 12. Vera J. (G) 93. Willie	32. Campos A. 19. De Lima M. 12. Guzman L. (G) 33. Magallanes J. 13. Medina A. 8. Merida K. 4. Rodriguez F. 16. Rodriguez I. 26. Romero C. 20. Vargas R. 30. Villamil J.
Coaches
Grass J.	Bolivia

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', Ricaldez C. ↓, Merida K. ↑,
27', 0 - 1, Bustos R. ⚽, Menacho R. (A),
44', 0 - 2, Terrazas A. ⚽, Menacho R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gean ↓, Mercado A. ↑,
46', Palma L. ↓, Roni Santos ↑,
46', Jeferson Carioca ↓, Willie ↑,
46', Cardozo R. ↓, Cristaldo G. ↑,
46', Bustos R. ↓, De Lima M. ↑,
62', Menacho R. ↓, Magallanes J. ↑,
79', 0 - 3, De Lima M. ⚽, Villamil S. (A),
89', Villamil S. ↓, Campos A. ↑,
90', Terrazas A. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 3, Mercado A. ⚽, Cristaldo G. (A),

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 10th and 14th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 1.

Recent results have been tough for Ind Petroleros (last 5 matches: 1 win).

SA Bulo Bulo has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Ind Petroleros carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Ind Petroleros has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:27 (averaging 2:3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ind Petroleros against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 11:9 goals (averaging 2.8:2.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Independiente	20	7	4	9	27:35	-8	25
13	SA Bulo Bulo	20	6	2	12	21:40	-19	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Petroleros
Bolivian Division Profesional
13.09.26	Universitario de Vinto - Independiente Petroleros	3:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
10.09.26	Bolívar - Independiente Petroleros	1:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
06.09.26	Independiente Petroleros - Bolívar	0:4 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
31.08.26	Real Tomayapo - Independiente Petroleros	3:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
27.08.26	Independiente Petroleros - Guabirá	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LTLLW
- San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Bolivian Division Profesional
11.09.26	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Aurora	0:2 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
08.09.26	ABB - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	0:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
04.09.26	Real Oruro - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
31.08.26	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Guabirá	5:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
26.08.26	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - The Strongest	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
01.05.26	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Independiente Petroleros	2:2
Bolivian Copa Pacena
27.10.25	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Independiente Petroleros	3:1
12.10.25	Independiente Petroleros - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	1:3
Bolivian Division Profesional
20.09.25	Independiente Petroleros - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	4:2
02.05.25	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Independiente Petroleros	4:2
12.12.24	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Independiente Petroleros	3:1
24.08.24	Independiente Petroleros - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	3:3

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