The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bolívar 80.4%
Draw 11.9%
Independiente Petroleros 7.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
78.5%
15%
6.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Independiente Petroleros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Bolívar - Independiente Petroleros Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Lopez J. (G) 2. Sagredo J. (C) 33. Mena F. 16. Zabala L. 8. Paz L. 99. Batallini D. 6. Vaca Moreno E. 20. Sejas C. 24. Galindo M. 9. Cauteruccio M. 11. Miranda B.
1. Gutierrez J. (G) 2. Torres S. 5. Palma L. 3. Crescencio L. 16. Chavez Suarez S. 34. Mendoza G. 6. Rojas D. 22. Rocabado Concha R. E. 93. Willie (C) 99. Jeferson Carioca 91. Alvarez G.
Substitutes
10. Arce B. 27. Asprilla D. 22. Ayhuana A. 18. Chavez Cruz L. L. 5. Echeverria S. 19. Garcia J. 80. Melgar C. A. 13. Mendez D. (G) 14. Robson Matheus 77. Romero D. 4. Sagredo J. 7. Velasquez J.
15. Bejarano J. 19. Cristaldo G. 20. Mercado A. 68. Morales D. 4. Rodriguez L. 50. Roni Santos 28. Soleto W. 14. Urdininea C. 12. Vera J. (G)
Coaches
Restrepo A.
Grass J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Rocabado Concha R. E. ↓, Cristaldo G. ↑,
46', Jeferson Carioca ↓, Mercado A. ↑,
46', Galindo M. ↓, Arce B. ↑,
46', Zabala L. ↓, Sagredo J. ↑,
51', Sejas C. 🟨,
57', Sejas C. ↓, Melgar C. A. ↑,
59', Sagredo J. 🟨,
64', 0 - 1, Mercado A. ⚽,
69', Batallini D. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
77', Alvarez G. ↓, Urdininea C. ↑,
80', Sagredo J. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
85', Sagredo J. 🟥,
87', 1 - 1, Cauteruccio M. ⚽, Miranda B. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolívar won 3.
Bolívar has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Ind Petroleros has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Ind Petroleros may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Bolívar is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Bolívar won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:14. (average 2.2:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Bolívar won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:7. (average 2.4:0.9).