Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 5

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Patria (Sucre)

Referee: Terrazas C. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Futbol Canal


	Independiente Petroleros		The Strongest

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3.5	3.4	1.83
	3.15	3.6	2.05
	3.09	3.93	2.06
	4.08	3.94	1.77	Watch
	3.33	3.59	2.04	Watch
	3.25	3.65	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (2.99)	3.67 ↑ (3.48)	1.98 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Petroleros
27.6%

Draw
25.4%

The Strongest
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

26.6%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Petroleros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

The Strongest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Independiente Petroleros - The Strongest Predictions

Users Predictions: The Strongest will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): The Strongest will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Lopez Giraldo J. (G) 94. Aguilera D. 4. Velasquez E. 2. Avila R. 3. Soleto W. 24. Vedia C. 27. Navarro D. 17. Rivera E. 19. Cristaldo G. 91. Ubah B. 10. Thomaz	1. Banegas L. (G) 32. Altamirano S. 5. Jusino A. 3. Pedraza P. 16. Moriceau T. 8. Ursino L. 7. Amoroso J. 30. Arrascaita J. 25. Somoya M. 20. Garcia J. 11. Triverio E.
Substitutes
12. Cardozo H. 7. Cardozo R. 40. Chajtur M. 39. Grass P. 32. Leanos H. 16. Martinez Y. 20. Mercado A. 72. Patzi A. 26. Peterito J. 6. Rivera A. 9. Villalba D. 93. Willie	4. Chiatti M. 23. Chura J. 18. Flores J. 22. Godoy J. 9. Guerrero S. 35. Lino D. 17. Lopez L. 34. Melgar S. 6. Quiroga A. 44. Supayabe F. 12. Valdivia D. (G) 15. Yanarico L.
Coaches
Robledo M.	Bustos C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Ursino L. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Garcia J. ⚽,
40', Banegas L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Navarro D. ↓, Cardozo R. ↑,
46', Velasquez E. ↓, Mercado A. ↑,
57', Somoya M. ↓, Chura J. ↑,
57', Garcia J. ↓, Lopez L. ↑,
62', Triverio E. 🟨,
63', Cristaldo G. ↓, Willie ↑,
68', Mercado A. 🟨,
69', Willie 🟥,
70', 🟨,
70', Triverio E. 🟨,
79', Arrascaita J. 🟨,
81', Amoroso J. ↓, Godoy J. ↑,
81', Lopez L. ↓, Chiatti M. ↑,
81', Soleto W. ↓, Chajtur M. ↑,
89', Ubah B. ↓, Villalba D. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Thomaz ⚽,
90+11', 🟨,
90+12', Pedraza P. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ind Petroleros won 0.

The Strongest could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The Strongest will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Ind Petroleros won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:17 (average 0.7:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Ind Petroleros won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:9 (average 1:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Petroleros
Bolivian Division Profesional
19.04.25	Blooming - Independiente Petroleros	3:1 ✺
11.04.25	Independiente Petroleros - Real Oruro	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	Independiente Petroleros - GVCD San José	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Independiente Petroleros	0:1 ✺
Bolivian Torneo Amistoso de Verano
22.02.25	Independiente Petroleros - Nacional Potosí	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTLWL
- The Strongest
Bolivian Division Profesional
18.04.25	The Strongest - Aurora	3:2 ✺
13.04.25	GVCD San José - The Strongest	0:4 ✺
06.04.25	The Strongest - Nacional Potosí	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Blooming - The Strongest	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.02.25	Bahia - The Strongest	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
01.12.24	Independiente Petroleros - The Strongest	0:2
04.08.24	The Strongest - Independiente Petroleros	5:0
17.07.23	The Strongest - Independiente Petroleros	2:0
12.02.23	Independiente Petroleros - The Strongest	1:4
03.09.22	Independiente Petroleros - The Strongest	1:1
12.09.21	The Strongest - Independiente Petroleros	1:1
04.04.21	Independiente Petroleros - The Strongest	2:2

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