The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente Petroleros 31.1%
Draw 25.4%
Nacional Potosí 43.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.6%
24.6%
35.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.9%
23.8%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Petroleros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Petroleros's form might have worsened.
Nacional Potosí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional Potosí's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Petroleros, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional Potosí, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Independiente Petroleros - Nacional Potosí Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Ind Petroleros will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Nacional Potosí (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nacional Potosí (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gutierrez J. (G) 2. Torres S. 5. Palma L. 13. Montenegro L. 4. Rodriguez F. 7. Cardozo R. (C) 19. Cristaldo G. 27. Navarro D. 10. Thomaz 59. Villavicencio J. 23. Rivas R.
23. Galindo P. (G) 21. Baldomar O. 6. Restrepo E. 33. Demiquel L. 4. Patzi A. 18. Azogue P. (C) 22. Hoyos D. 26. Quiroz K. 10. Nunez M. 99. Villalba D. 7. Solis M.
Substitutes
35. Chuipa D. 9. Cristaldo J. E. 39. Grass P. 32. Leanos H. 11. Lutkowski R. 16. Montero R. 68. Morales D. 6. Rojas D. 50. Vargas D. 12. Vera J. (G) 93. Willie 77. Zamora R.
27. Abastoflor C. 19. Alvarez W. 1. Arauz E. (G) 2. Avila R. 30. Martinez Y. 34. Medina K. 25. Orellana J. 8. Pavia L. 28. Pena S. 11. Rojas J. 9. Tobar T. 24. Zeballos L.
Coaches
Thiago Leitao
Marquez A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Thomaz 🟨,
45', Palma L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Solis M. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
53', Navarro D. 🟨,
53', 0 - 1, Hoyos D. ⚽,
56', 0 - 2, Rojas J. ⚽,
60', Cardozo R. ↓, Willie ↑,
60', Navarro D. ↓, Rojas D. ↑,
60', Rivas R. ↓, Cristaldo J. E. ↑,
63', Azogue P. 🟨,
71', Azogue P. ↓, Pavia L. ↑,
71', Villalba D. ↓, Alvarez W. ↑,
71', Cristaldo G. ↓, Lutkowski R. ↑,
73', Baldomar O. 🟨,
78', 0 - 3, Pavia L. ⚽, Nunez M. (A),
84', Torres S. ↓, Vargas D. ↑,
85', Thomaz 🟨,
86', Patzi A. ↓, Medina K. ↑,
86', Nunez M. ↓, Pena S. ↑,
90+3', Lutkowski R. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 1.
Ind Petroleros is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Nacional Potosí has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:36. (average 1.5:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Ind Petroleros won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.1:1.9).
Bolivia
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Gutierrez J. (G) 
Palma L. 
Thomaz 
Rivas R. 
Nunez M. 
Solis M. 
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