Match Info

Date: 1 May 2022, Sunday


	Independiente Porto Caravel		Deportivo Nacional

	1	X	2
	3.3	4.75	1.67
	3.6	4.6	1.6
	3.3	4.75	1.67
	3.84	4.7	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.3)	4.7 ↓ (5)	1.63 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Independiente Porto Caravel
25.7%

Draw
19.2%

Deportivo Nacional
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

18%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

18.2%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Porto Caravel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Porto Caravel's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Nacional's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Porto Caravel than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Porto Caravel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Nacional than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Nacional, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

#ad

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 6).

Recent matches Independiente Porto Caravel is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Deportivo Nacional is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Deportivo Nacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Deportivo Nacional will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Independiente Porto Caravel won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente Porto Caravel won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Porto Caravel
Aruban Division di Honor
10.04.22	Dakota - Independiente Porto Caravel	5:0 ✺
03.04.22	Independiente Porto Caravel - Bubali	1:0 ✺
20.03.22	United FC - Independiente Porto Caravel	2:3 ✺
11.03.22	Independiente Porto Caravel - La Fama	0:2 ✺
05.03.22	Racing Club Aruba - Independiente Porto Caravel	9:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWWLL
- SV Deportivo Nacional
Aruban Division di Honor
26.04.22	Deportivo Nacional - Bubali	6:0 ✺
09.04.22	United FC - Deportivo Nacional	1:12 ✺
02.04.22	Deportivo Nacional - La Fama	2:4 ✺
20.03.22	Racing Club Aruba - Deportivo Nacional	2:2 ✺
13.03.22	Deportivo Nacional - River Plate Aruba	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Aruban Division di Honor
18.12.21	Deportivo Nacional - Independiente Porto Caravel	3:3
08.05.21	Independiente Porto Caravel - Deportivo Nacional	2:3
07.03.20	Independiente Porto Caravel - Deportivo Nacional	2:0

Independiente Porto Caravel - Deportivo Nacional: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide