Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 10 November 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini (Mendoza)

Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Independiente Rivadavia		Central Córdoba

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.95	2.65	Watch
	2.85	2.95	2.7
	2.96	2.98	2.78
	2.83	2.88	2.69	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.2)	2.93 ↓ (3.15)	2.84 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Rivadavia
34.5%

Draw
32.2%

Central Córdoba
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

29.5%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

30.4%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Rivadavia's form might have worsened.

Central Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Rivadavia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Córdoba than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Central Córdoba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8%	16%	76%

Independiente Rivadavia - Central Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 2 - 8%). Central Córdoba will win (votes: 19 - 76%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Central Córdoba: 59.3% – 92.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Central Córdoba (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Central Córdoba (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Central Córdoba (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Bolcato N. (G) 13. Osella A. 2. Costa L. 42. Studer S. 14. Gomez L. 21. Cardillo M. 5. Bottari T. 25. Amarfil M. 26. Fernandez M. 43. Sartori F. 22. Villa S. (C)	1. Aguerre A. (G) 20. Martinez F. 2. Abascia L. 32. Galvan J. (C) 42. Pignani J. 24. Cufre B. 34. Vera M. 25. Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 18. Zalazar D. 12. Heredia L. 9. Varaldo L.
Substitutes
29. Abecasis L. 20. Barbieri J. 36. Bonifacio E. 8. Bucca L. 12. Lastra A. (G) 18. Munoz S. 4. Peinipil M. 7. Ramis V. 34. Retamar K. 11. Tonetto D. 31. Valenti M. 40. Villalba I.	7. Barrera D. 77. Besozzi L. 23. Bursich L. (G) 29. Cabral F. 17. Casermeiro Y. 15. Cristoforo S. 8. Gomez I. 27. Juarez F. 6. Mansilla F. 3. Marchi L. 33. Moyano S. 11. Perello M.
Coaches
Berti A.	De F. O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Vera M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Varaldo L. ↓, Besozzi L. ↑,
58', Martinez F. ↓, Moyano S. ↑,
58', Zalazar D. ↓, Perello M. ↑,
69', Studer S. 🟨,
76', Pignani J. ↓, Casermeiro Y. ↑,
80', Vera M. ↓, Cristoforo S. ↑,
81', Sartori F. ↓, Barbieri J. ↑,
81', Fernandez M. ↓, Retamar K. ↑,
86', Osella A. ↓, Abecasis L. ↑,
87', Gomez L. ↓, Bonifacio E. ↑,
87', Villa S. 🟨,
89', Cardillo M. ↓, Tonetto D. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Central Córdoba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Independiente R has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Central Córdoba: Cristoforo S. (Inactive) Godoy M. (Inactive) Mansilla F. (Inactive) Pillud I. . (Inactive)

There are questionable in Independiente R: Centurion E. (Injury) Fernandez M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Central Córdoba: Veron G. (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Independiente R won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente Rivadavia - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.28%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Central Córdoba - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 28.19%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Rivadavia
Copa Argentina
05.11.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors	3:2 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.11.25	Aldosivi - Independiente Rivadavia	3:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
24.10.25	Independiente Rivadavia - River Plate	1:0 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.10.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Banfield	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Godoy Cruz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WLWLT
- Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.11.25	Central Córdoba - Racing	0:0 ✺
22.10.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Central Córdoba	0:1 ✺
10.10.25	Central Córdoba - Unión Santa Fe	3:1 ✺
03.10.25	Argentinos Juniors - Central Córdoba	0:0 ✺
26.09.25	Central Córdoba - Tigre	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.04.25	Central Córdoba - Independiente Rivadavia	1:2
18.10.24	Central Córdoba - Independiente Rivadavia	2:0
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.09.18	Independiente Rivadavia - Central Córdoba	2:0
19.04.17	Independiente Rivadavia - Central Córdoba	2:2
21.09.16	Central Córdoba - Independiente Rivadavia	3:0
14.02.16	Independiente Rivadavia - Central Córdoba	0:1
17.08.15	Central Córdoba - Independiente Rivadavia	1:3

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