Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini (Mendoza)

Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Independiente Rivadavia		Argentinos Juniors

	1	X	2
	3	2.75	2.7
	3	2.82	2.65
	3.08	2.91	2.74
	3.02	2.87	2.68	Watch
	2.88	2.7	2.63
	3.04	2.83	2.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.74)	2.81 ↓ (2.82)	2.7 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Independiente Rivadavia
31.4%

Draw
33.6%

Argentinos Juniors
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

32.8%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

34.3%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Argentinos Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.6%	36.4%	50%

Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 11 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Argentinos Juniors: 29.1% – 70.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Argentinos Juniors (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Argentinos Juniors (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Argentinos Juniors (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Bolcato N. (G) 36. Bonifacio E. 2. Costa L. (C) 13. Osella A. 3. Elordi J. M. 5. Bottari T. 11. Rios G. 19. Atencio R. 8. Bucca L. 43. Sartori F. 10. Fernandez M.	25. Cortes B. (G) 14. Coronel K. 4. Godoy E. 6. Riquelme R. D. 20. Prieto S. 24. Fattori F. 11. Oroz N. 23. Lopez H. 10. Lescano A. (C) 29. Viveros E. 30. Morales I.
Substitutes
9. Arce A. 15. Arena N. 27. Crego D. 17. Dadin B. 25. Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 14. Gomez L. 21. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 7. Ramis V. 20. Riep A. 42. Studer S. 40. Villalba I. 22. Villa S.	26. Bravo C. 31. Carrizo F. 18. Fernandez L. 8. Gomez L. 32. Infantino G. 48. Jainikoski F. 34. Kida R. 17. Paredes F. 33. Perez E. 47. Porcel D. 12. Siri Payer G. (G) 13. Yanez T.
Coaches
Berti A.	Diez N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Elordi J. M. ⚽, Fernandez M. (A),
16', Lopez H. 🟥,
19', Costa L. ↓, Villalba I. ↑,
20', Fattori F. 🟨,
23', 2 - 0, Bucca L. ⚽, Atencio R. (A),
39', Fernandez M. 🟨,
41', Riquelme R. D. 🟨,
41', Cortes B. 🟨,
45+1', Bonifacio E. 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 1, Prieto S. ⚽, Morales I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bonifacio E. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
46', Sartori F. ↓, Arce A. ↑,
52', 3 - 1, Osella A. ⚽, Elordi J. M. (A),
54', Fernandez M. ↓, Florentin Bobadilla J. I. ↑,
55', Viveros E. ↓, Jainikoski F. ↑,
66', Bottari T. 🟨,
67', Oroz N. ↓, Porcel D. ↑,
67', Fattori F. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
67', Bucca L. ↓, Villa S. ↑,
76', Lescano A. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
76', Morales I. ↓, Carrizo F. ↑,
82', Villalba I. 🟨,
85', Coronel K. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 3.

Independiente R is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Argentinos Juniors is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Independiente R: Macagno R. (Injury)

There will not play in Argentinos Juniors: Alvarez F. (Yellow Cards) Gho J. (Knee Injury) Gimenez M. (Knee Injury) Lozano L. (Inactive) Rodriguez D. (Knee Injury) Veron G. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Independiente R: Costa L. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Independiente R won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Argentinos Juniors - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 33.49%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Rivadavia
Copa Libertadores
07.04.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Bolívar	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.04.26	Tigre - Independiente Rivadavia	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Rosario Central	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente Rivadavia	2:3 ✺
11.03.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Barracas Central	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWWL
- Argentinos Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.04.26	Argentinos Juniors - Banfield	3:2 ✺
31.03.26	Aldosivi - Argentinos Juniors	0:2 ✺
26.03.26	Argentinos Juniors - Lanús	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Argentinos Juniors - Platense	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Tigre - Argentinos Juniors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Argentina
05.11.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors	3:2 penalties
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.08.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors	2:1
24.02.25	Argentinos Juniors - Independiente Rivadavia	0:0
02.12.24	Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors	2:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
20.02.24	Argentinos Juniors - Independiente Rivadavia	2:1
Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.06.17	Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors	2:1
13.11.16	Argentinos Juniors - Independiente Rivadavia	3:1

Upcoming Matches