Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 21

Date: 9 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini (Mendoza)

Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)


	Independiente Rivadavia		Chacarita Juniors

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.2
	2.15	3.1	3.4
	2.2	3.11	3.73
	2.1	2.88	3.6
	2.18	3.08	3.64	Watch
	2.17	3.15	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.16)	3.09 ↓ (3.17)	3.47 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Rivadavia
42.9%

Draw
30.2%

Chacarita Juniors
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

29.2%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

28.3%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Chacarita Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Independiente Rivadavia - Chacarita Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: Independiente Rivadavia will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gagliardo M. (G) 4. Dionisio A. 2. Flores S. 6. Maidana M. 3. Elordi J. M. 8. Ham E. 5. Romero F. 11. Tonetto D. 7. Ramis V. 9. Arce A. 10. Reali M.	1. Correa C. (G) 4. Gonzalez J. 6. Caro Nicolas 2. Zanini A. 3. Quiroz F. 8. Cuello A. 5. Perdomo L. 11. Pugliese G. 10. Blanco R. 7. Rodriguez Matias 9. Pulicastro F.
Substitutes
19. Aguirre J. 14. Ascacibar J. 18. Distaulo A. 17. Gonzalez M. 12. Masuero F. (G) 15. Ortale M. 13. Petrasso F. 16. Sanchez B. 20. Valdez I.	18. Astina M. 16. Beltramone E. 17. Chaves N. 20. Chocobar V. 14. Fernandez T. 15. Gomez N. 13. Lettieri E. 12. Losas F. (G) 19. Rasic F.
Coaches
Berti A.	Biggeri A.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Independiente Rivadavia won 2.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Independiente Rivadavia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Independiente Rivadavia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente Rivadavia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.07.23	Mitre - Independiente Rivadavia	2:1 ✺
24.06.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Chaco For Ever	1:0 ✺
17.06.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Aldosivi	2:1 ✺
03.06.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Deportivo Maipú	2:1 ✺
27.05.23	Villa Dálmine - Independiente Rivadavia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWW
- Chacarita Juniors
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.07.23	Chacarita Juniors - Deportivo Maipú	2:1 ✺
24.06.23	Villa Dálmine - Chacarita Juniors	0:1 ✺
17.06.23	Chacarita Juniors - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
06.06.23	Talleres de Córdoba - Chacarita Juniors	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.06.23	Chacarita Juniors - Atlético de Rafaela	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.03.23	Chacarita Juniors - Independiente Rivadavia	3:0
30.04.22	Independiente Rivadavia - Chacarita Juniors	2:3
09.02.19	Chacarita Juniors - Independiente Rivadavia	0:2
21.06.17	Independiente Rivadavia - Chacarita Juniors	3:1
22.11.16	Chacarita Juniors - Independiente Rivadavia	1:0
05.06.16	Chacarita Juniors - Independiente Rivadavia	4:0
27.09.15	Independiente Rivadavia - Chacarita Juniors	1:1

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