Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 18

Date: 17 June 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Chacarita Juniors (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Ejarque E. (Arg)


	Chacarita Juniors		Deportivo Madryn

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.4	6.5	Watch
	1.65	3.5	4.8
	1.65	3.65	5.3
	1.68	3.65	5.55
	1.65	3.3	5.25
	1.69	3.62	5.3
	1.67	3.45	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.93)	3.51 ↑ (3.11)	5.41 ↑ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chacarita Juniors
56.1%

Draw
26.6%

Deportivo Madryn
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

29.1%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28.1%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chacarita Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chacarita Juniors's performance.

Deportivo Madryn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Madryn might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chacarita Juniors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Madryn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Chacarita Juniors - Deportivo Madryn Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Chacarita will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Deportivo Madryn will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chacarita: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Correa C. (G) 4. Gonzalez J. 6. Caro Nicolas 2. Zanini A. 3. Quiroz F. 8. Cuello A. 5. Perdomo L. 11. Pugliese G. 10. Blanco R. 7. Rodriguez Matias 9. Gimenez L.	1. Temperini N. (G) 4. Ardiles F. 2. Perales V. 6. Mansilla M. 3. Godoy F. 8. Lioi A. 5. Recalde F. 10. Sanchez N. 9. Gonzalez L. 11. Crego D. 7. Marinucci L.
Substitutes
18. Astina M. 16. Fernandez K. 14. Fernandez T. 15. Gomez N. 19. Guerra A. 17. Hoyos E. 13. Lettieri E. 12. Losas F. (G) 20. Rasic F.	19. Arreguin E. 18. Deboli F. 17. Ferro R. 12. Hass J. (G) 13. Magnago B. E. 20. Necul L. 16. Nunez C. 15. Villarreal M. 14. Zuliani H.
Coaches
Biggeri A.	Yllana A.

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Chacarita is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Chacarita won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Chacarita won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chacarita Juniors
Copa Argentina
06.06.23	Talleres de Córdoba - Chacarita Juniors	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.06.23	Chacarita Juniors - Atlético de Rafaela	3:0 ✺
28.05.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Chacarita Juniors	2:1 ✺
21.05.23	Chacarita Juniors - Brown de Adrogué	0:0 ✺
13.05.23	Quilmes - Chacarita Juniors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLTT
- Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.06.23	Mitre - Deportivo Madryn	1:0 ✺
27.05.23	Deportivo Madryn - Chaco For Ever	1:0 ✺
20.05.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Deportivo Madryn	1:0 ✺
13.05.23	Deportivo Madryn - Deportivo Maipú	2:3 ✺
06.05.23	Villa Dálmine - Deportivo Madryn	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.02.23	Deportivo Madryn - Chacarita Juniors	0:0
19.03.22	Chacarita Juniors - Deportivo Madryn	0:2

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