Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 20

Date: 2 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Aurinegro (Santiago del Estero)

Referee: Llobet F. (Arg)


	Mitre		Independiente Rivadavia

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.25	3	3.1
	2.25	3	3.4
	2.47	2.95	3.33
	2.3	2.9	3.1
	2.31	3.18	3.22	Watch
	2.31	3.05	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.51)	3.04 ↓ (3.23)	3.23 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mitre
40.2%

Draw
30.8%

Independiente Rivadavia
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

29%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Rivadavia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Rivadavia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	40%	10%

Mitre - Independiente Rivadavia Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Mitre will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Independiente R will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mitre: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Larrea K. (G) 4. Tapia R. 2. Soto G. 6. Almiron M. 3. Sanchez M. 7. Mieres B. 5. Alessandroni J. 8. Diaz G. 11. Gonzalez D. 9. Romero N. 10. Rosales S.	1. Gagliardo M. (G) 4. Abecasis L. 2. Petrasso F. 6. Flores S. 3. Elordi J. M. 8. Ham E. 5. Romero F. 11. Tonetto D. 7. Ramis V. 9. Arce A. 10. Reali M.
Substitutes
15. Ayala R. 14. Diaz C. 16. Ferrari M. 20. Heiz N. 19. Juarez F. 13. Lamosa A. 12. Ledesma J. (G) 18. Mayenfisch G. 17. Ramirez G.	19. Aguirre J. 14. Dionisio A. 18. Distaulo A. 17. Gonzalez M. 12. Masuero F. (G) 13. Moya S. 15. Ortale M. 20. Perales J. 16. Sanchez B.
Coaches
Grelak A.	Berti A.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mitre won 2.

Mitre is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Independiente Rivadavia in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Independiente Rivadavia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Independiente Rivadavia have a series of home games.

Mitre will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Mitre won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Mitre won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Mitre
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.06.23	Deportivo Maipú - Mitre	2:1 ✺
18.06.23	Mitre - Villa Dálmine	3:1 ✺
05.06.23	Mitre - Deportivo Madryn	1:0 ✺
28.05.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Mitre	0:1 ✺
21.05.23	Mitre - Estudiantes de Caseros	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWWWW
- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.06.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Chaco For Ever	1:0 ✺
17.06.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Aldosivi	2:1 ✺
03.06.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Deportivo Maipú	2:1 ✺
27.05.23	Villa Dálmine - Independiente Rivadavia	0:3 ✺
20.05.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Deportivo Madryn	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.02.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Mitre	4:1
13.03.22	Independiente Rivadavia - Mitre	1:0
10.01.21	Independiente Rivadavia - Mitre	0:1
02.12.19	Mitre - Independiente Rivadavia	0:0
03.02.19	Independiente Rivadavia - Mitre	0:1
09.02.18	Mitre - Independiente Rivadavia	3:1

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